A Look at This Year’s College Football Win Totals

Posted by Aaron . on May 26, 2016 in

With each passing week, the 2016 NCAA football season gets closer and closer. Let’s take a look at some of the projected NCAA Football Lines win totals for some of the big-name programs out there.

A Look at This Year’s College Football Win Totals



Clemson 10 (over -120)
Alabama 9.5
Florida State 10 (over -120)
Oklahoma 10 (under -130)
LSU 9.5 (over -140)
Michigan 9.5 (over -120)
Houston 9 (under -150)
Notre Dame 9 (under -125)
Ohio State (over -115)
Tennessee 10
Baylor 9 (under -125)
Michigan State 8 (under -135)
Stanford 8 (under -130)
Ole Miss 7.5 (under -115)
Georgia 8.5 (over -145)
Auburn 7 (over -120)
UCLA 9 (over -120)
USC 7.5 (over -120)
Oregon 8.5 (under -120)
Florida 8 (under -125)
Louisville 9
TCU 8.5 (under -125)
Oklahoma State 8.5 (under -130)
UNLV 4.5

Here’s what I think about some of these.


With the sudden firing of both the Baylor university president, Ken Starr, and head football coach Art Briles in the wake of a scandal involving years of sexual assault allegations (and some convictions) involving Baylor football players while Starr and Briley basically looked the other way, the Bears could very easily finish under. The likely interim head coach is Phil Bennett, who built a pretty solid defense in Waco and at Pitt. The last time he was a head coach, though, was up Interstate 35 at SMU, and he proved himself to be dreadful at running at an entire team. Think of him as the NCAA’s Wade Phillips. I’d take the under here.


At first blush, the under makes sense here. But then you have to think about the system here. Yes, the Frogs lost quarterback Trevone Boykin to graduation (and he ended up signing as a free agent with the Seahawks). But the issues on defense last year had more to do with injury than anything else, and Gary Patterson’s defense should be loaded once again. Who’s going to be good in the Big 12? Oklahoma will be tough, and Texas Tech could be a challenge, but Baylor will be reeling from losing their coach, and no one else is projected to be that solid. Given how TCU loads their non-conference schedule with cupcakes, I could see the Horned Frogs hitting that over pretty easily.


If you don’t think the Cougars have a chip on their shoulder after that tough loss at Connecticut held them out of the College Football Playoff, then you don’t know Texas football. I like them to run roughshod over their American Athletic Conference opponents next year and end up at 10 or 11 wins for the season and go into the end of the season in similar discussions about their postseason.

Tennessee 10

This is a win total that seems awfully high — unless you look at the Volunteers’ schedule. Their nonconference games are mostly cake (Appalachian State, Ohio U. and Tennessee Tech sound doable, with Virginia Tech the only thing approaching a challenge. Their toughest games will be at Georgia and at home against the Crimson Tide. So if this young team comes together, they could be at the Georgia Dome representing the SEC’s East Division.