Independence Bowl NCAAF Betting Lines & Preview

Posted by Aaron . on December 24, 2015 in

This Saturday, the 40th Independence Bowl in Shreveport, Lousiana, will feature Virginia Tech and Tulsa. Virginia Tech is appearing in its 23rd consecutive bowl game and is about to send Frank Beamer, the longtime head coach of the Hokies, into retirement on a high note. The game kicks off at 5:45pm Eastern time on ESPN. Virginia Tech is favored by 14 points, and the over/under total is set at a gargantuan 63 points. Click here for MyBookie’s NCAAF betting lines.

View full TV schedule here.

Why should you take the Hurricane (+14)?

No one picked Tulsa to do very well in the AAC this year, but they jumped out to a 2-0 start, including a road win against New Mexico. They did lose four out of the next five, but those defeats came against Big 12 champ Oklahoma and AAC champ Houston, as well as Memphis. They then won three of five to gain bowl eligibility in the last game of the season, beating Tulane 45-34. When they are double-digit underdogs, they are 3-1 against the spread. They have a strong rushing and passing attack — and they have gone over the over/under total their last four games. It will be hard for the Hokies to stay two touchdowns ahead of this crew.

Tulsa will face Virginia Tech.

Why should you bet on the Hokies (-14)?

When the season began, Virginia Tech was the favorite to carry the Coastal Division in the ACC, but they struggled on offense all year. They won two of three (losing to Ohio State) but then dropped four of five to slide out of ACC contention. They barely gained bowl eligibility by beating Virginia, 23-20, in the last game of the season. They will be flying high on emotion in this bowl game, wanting to send Coach Beamer off after making a legacy out of this program.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I think Virginia Tech will win this game, but they won’t win it by 14. Also, I don’t see this game going over, as Tulsa’s high-flying offense won’t have as much spark this time — and Virginia Tech just doesn’t score at that rate. So I definitely take the under here. I see Virginia Tech winning 27-21, so they will win but not cover.