Gildan New Mexico Bowl NCAAF Money Line & Odds
The New Mexico Bowl features the Lobos of The University of Mexico against the Arizona Wildcats on Saturday, December 19 at 2:00 p.m. Eastern time in Albuquerque. Arizona is favored to win by 11.5 points, even though New Mexico will, at least ostensibly, be the “home” team. The Lobos have been favored to lose by at least a touchdown four times this year, and they have beat the spread all four times — and they’ve won three of those games straight up. Let’s take a look at this matchup. Click here for NCAAF money lines!
— Arizona Athletics (@AZATHLETICS) December 19, 2015
Why should you choose Arizona (-11.5)?
The Wildcats got off to a 5-2 start this season, but when Washington State came south and delivered a three-point upset, they started a 1-4 slide that came to a crashing halt when they lost 52-37 to their rivals at Arizona State, a game that saw Arizona State go up 31-10 before Wildcats closed to within 38-30 but then threw a couple of pick-sixes that stopped the comeback in its tracks. However, the week before that, Arizona had beaten Utah, 37-30 in overtime, despite being a six-point underdog. Arizona was also up on USC up in L.A. in the fourth quarter, losing by eight but easily covering a 19-point spread. When they have been the favorite this year, they are 4-2 against the spread.
Why should you pick New Mexico (+11.5)?
The Lobos only won 11 games combined in Bob Davie’s first three seasons at the helm. However, this year then won 7 to earn bowl eligibility for the first time in eight years. They got off to a 1-2 start but then won five of seven, upsetting Utah State as a 20-point dog and Boise State as a 30-point underdog. They also upset Air Force in the last week of the season, 47-35. Air Force averages 322 rushing yards per game, but New Mexico outrushed the Falcons by 155 yards. They have won the rushing battle four weeks in a row now.
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
The Lobos see this bowl as more of a positive than the Wildcats are likely to, given their Pac-12 pedigree. Also, the game is in the Lobos’ home stadium. Given some of the teams that the Lobos have beaten, I like them to beat a Wildcat team that has had a downward spiral mark the second half of their season. I’m picking the Lobos, 24-17.