Notre Dame Visits Stanford as NCAAF Betting Favorite

Posted by Aaron . on November 27, 2015 in

The Fighting Irish have a chance to finish their season with just one loss (10-1) and stay in the hunt for one of those playoff spots when they head to Stanford Stadium on Saturday. The Cardinal (9-2) are likely not CFP candidates unless chaos ensues above them after losing two games, but they will be the North Division’s representative in the Pac-12 championship game on December 5 after knocking off California, 35-22. Stanford is a 3.5-point favorite, and the over-under total sits at 55.

Notre Dame vs Stanford Game Preview and NCAAF Betting Analysis

Date/Time: Saturday, November 28th, 7:30 PM
Location: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, California
Game Odds: Notre Dame -3½
TV: Fox
Live stream: This game can be streamed here.

 

If you remember that the Fighting Irish lost their starting quarterback, Malik Zaire, to a broken ankle way back in Week 2, the fact that they have gone 10-1 this season is amazing (their only loss coming to CFP #1 Clemson). Notre Dame did have a bit of a struggle last week against Boston College, coming away with a narrow 19-16 victory at Boston’s Fenway Park. It’s true that BC added a late touchdown with 54 seconds left to make things a little closer, but the Irish quarterback, DeShone Kizer, did throw three picks on the day.

 

Running back C.J. Prosise, who has gained 1,029 yards this season, and cornerback KeiVarae Russell went down to injury against BC. Prosise is listed as doubtful because of a sprain to his left ankle, and Russell is out for up to two months with a fractured tibia. Kizer has been a rock for this team since Zaire went down, and Josh Adams (7.0 yards per carry this season) could be an adequate replacement for Prosise.

Stanford 2015 NCAAF

Stanford comes into the game led by Heisman Trophy candidate (and likely finalist) Christian McCaffrey. This star running back brought a kickoff back 98 yards for a touchdown and had a 49-yard catch-and-run when the Cardinal beat Cal last week. On the day, McCaffrey set a Stanford record with 389 all-purpose yards. Stanford finished 8-1 in the conference, but that early loss to Northwestern and the home loss to Oregon means that they are likely not going to be in the CFP final four, even if they win the Pac-12.

 

Notre Dame is 1-7 against the spread in their last eight November games. Stanford is 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 contests after a straight up win. In their last nine games after a win against the spread, they are 7-2 against the spread.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

I like the Fighting Irish to come in here and cover. They have fought week in and week out all year, and given that they could still inch their way back into the CFP, while Stanford has locked up a Pac-12 championship berth but is likely out of the CFP bracket, the Irish have a little more to play for. Stanford might win, but the Irish will cover the spread.