College Football Teams that will Beat the Odds in 2016

Posted by Aaron . on June 1, 2016 in

The 2016 college football season does not kick off for another three months, but it is never too early to start doing your NCAAF betting research, especially now that the recruiting process is over and national signing day has passed, giving us a better idea of the teams that are likely to improve this year. Here is a look at some of the NCAA Football teams we anticipate to beat the 2016 college football odds in regards to regular season totals, divisional titles and the online betting odds to win the 2017 College Football Playoff Championship.

College Football Teams that will Beat the Odds in 2016



FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES: OVER 10 Wins, Potential ACC and National Champ

Last season, the Seminoles were expected to take a step back in the ACC after losing a lot of talent from the 2014-15 season. Come the end of the year, Florida State had a 10-3 season, which was way better than the performance of most top teams in the country. If FSU’s off year delivered 10 wins, then the 2016 season should be much better for this Seminoles team that has now recorded three straight double-digit win seasons, including a national championship title in 2013 and a playoff berth in 2014. Yes, Clemson is a rightful favorite in the ACC and Dabo Swinney’s boys make a strong case for a berth in the 2017 CFP. But a lot of things actually favor a strong title run by FSU than Clemson. For starters, the Seminoles get Clemson at home, offering FSU a chance to avenge last season’s loss to the Tigers. And even if they lose to Clemson, the rest of FSU’s “tough” fixtures are very manageable, including an opening week fixture vs. Mississippi on a neutral field and a winnable road game at Louisville. Scheduling-aside, the Noles return 17 starters, including all 11 starters on offense that are led by a Heisman Trophy candidate at running back in Dalvin Cook and a productive O-line spearheaded by standout left tackle Roderick Johnson. Add all that to the strong competition at QB between Sean Maguire and freshman Deondre Francois, who are likely to get the best out of each other, the Seminoles certainly look good to crash above 10 wins, possibly even finishing the regular season undefeated to win the ACC title and contend for a spot in the 2016 College Football playoffs.

MICHIGAN WOLVERINES: Over 9.5 wins, Potential Big Ten Champ

The Wolverines have questions at quarterback in 2016, but after Jim Harbaugh’s boys shined in 2015 without a formidable player at quarterback; just about anyone who can throw and run the ball decently should be good to lead this team. Defensively, Michigan could easily include several All-Americans from last year’s formidable unit, along with solid contributors from the freshman class, including the nation’s No. 1 overall prospect. And as far as scheduling goes, the Wolverines dodge the bullet by facing arguably the worst teams from 2015 in Rutgers, Colorado, UCF and Hawaii, meaning easy victories for Michigan. Meanwhile, Illinois and Maryland are both rebuilding, while playing Penn State and Wisconsin in Ann Arbor will make the job lighter for the Wolverines. Just about the only challenges for Wolverines are the road games at Iowa, at Michigan State, and at Ohio State. The Spartans and the Buckeyes lost tons of talent, giving Michigan a strong chance to win either or even both games, while the Hawkeyes are expected to regress after overachieving in 2015. With all that considered, a double-digit win season, possibly with a Big Ten title, should be within the realms of strong possibility for Michigan.

OKLAHOMA SOONERS: OVER 10 wins, Potential Big 12 and National Champ

I am never a fan of prohibitive sportsbooks betting favorites, but in Oklahoma’s case, I am inclined to make an exception. TCU has been decimated with losses to the NFL draft in several key positions and Baylor is likely to face a shakeup from the firing of head coach Art Briles. The Sooners, meanwhile, are as strong as ever, returning quarterback Baker Mayfield—another early 2016 Heisman Trophy favorite—and workhorse tailbacks in Samaje Perine and Joe Mixon. Oklahoma’s schedule is not breezy, I agree, including a season-opener at Houston on September 3rd and challenging home clash on September 17th against Ohio State Then there are the challenging conference visits to TCU and West Virginia plus the rivalry game against Texas in Dallas and the November 12th blockbuster in Norman when Baylor visits. But the truth is that the two non-conference games against Houston and Ohio State are winnable, and going 2-2 (or even better) is possible in the tough Big 12 games against TCU, WVU, Texas and Baylor. It should therefore not be a surprise if the Sooners win the Big 12 title and contend for a spot in the playoffs, hopefully putting up a better fight than they did in the loss to Clemson in the 2016 College Football Playoff semifinal.

LSU TIGERS: Over 9.5 wins, Potential SEC West Champ

We all know how the Tigers began their 2015 campaign in commanding style, including a win over defending national champs Alabama, only to succumb later to their defensive woes. Granted, all those talks about a potentially bad season for the Tigers in 2016 are a tad exaggerated. Led by another Heisman Trophy candidate in running back Leonard Fournette will help LSU’s offense to stay on point, going by the numbers posted by the beastly tailback last season. Also, the Tigers are almost guaranteed to get better production at QB this season after a dismal QB output last year from an inexperienced signal-caller, while the defense made a couple of offseason additions and adjustments that look to shore things at back. Then, of course, LSU has a navigable schedule that includes facing the Crimson Tide at home at Baton Rouge. With that, reaching at least 10 wins and strongly challenging for the SEC West title should be very possible for this underrated LSU team.