Updated College Football Championship Odds – December 10th

Posted by Derrick Harper on December 10, 2019 in

The College Football Playoff is officially set with the committee avoiding a lot of drama about what teams were included and what teams were left out. One or two teams felt “disrespected” and complained about not being the no. 1 seed, but the beauty of this system is that everything will play itself out on the field. The tricky part of this year’s playoff is that the four teams combined for exactly one loss this season.

That means at least a couple of teams will suffer their first and only loss of the season during the playoff. In fact, the job for betters is quite difficult, as one could make a strong argument for all four of these teams being capable of winning it all. With that in mind, let’s try to make sense of everything around the NCAAF Betting action.

Updated College Football Championship Odds – December 10th

Favorite: LSU (7/5)

The Bayou Bengals are the betting favorite to win the national championship and for good reason. By getting the top seed, they get an Oklahoma team that’s perceived to be the weakest of the four teams in the semi-finals. LSU also put a hurt on Georgia in the SEC Championship Game behind quarterback Joe Burrow, who appears to be the Heisman frontrunner.

However, taking LSU isn’t necessarily the smart pick. For starters, the payout isn’t that great because they have the shortest odds. There’s not much to separate the Tigers from both Ohio State and Clemson, making the championship game a tossup at best.

Also, keep in mind that the LSU defense had some issues this season despite dominating Georgia in the SEC title game. While Burrow and company can keep pace with anyone, the Tigers gave up 37 points or more four times this year, which is a problem that could be exposed against any of the three other explosive offenses in the playoff.

Smart Pick: Clemson (3/1)

When in doubt, go with the team that’s won 28 games in a row. Clemson appears to have usurped Alabama as the pre-eminent team in college football, and the Tigers can confirm that by winning their second straight title and third in the last four years. With the second-highest payout of the four teams in the Playoff, the Tigers might be the smartest pick.

It’s worth noting the Tigers haven’t played any top-15 caliber teams this year. However, Clemson’s schedule did include eight bowl-eligible teams, most of whom they blew out with the greatest of ease.

Meanwhile, the Tigers faced a little adversity early in the season before their string out blowouts. It’s also clear that they’ve improved as the season has gone along, especially some of their young defensive players, leaving no doubt that the Tigers are playing their best football at the right time of year.

Long Shot: Oklahoma (16/1)

The Sooners got the no. 4 spot in the Playoff almost by default with the likes of Alabama, Georgia, and Utah all losing over the past couple of weeks.

Nevertheless, Oklahoma makes for an intriguing sleep pick. If you look at the betting odds, the Sooners are a long shot compared to the other three teams. However, they aren’t so bad that they’ll get blown away in the semi-finals the way Notre Dame did last year.

Remember, Oklahoma is in the Playoff for the third straight year, so they have plenty of experience getting to this point in the season.

The same is true of quarterback Jalen Hurts, who’s been to the Playoff with Alabama. Perhaps more importantly, the Oklahoma defense is not the liability that it’s been in years past. Even against top teams, the OU defense should keep them within striking distance and give Hurts a chance. Given the potential payout, the Sooners are worth a flyer.