Central Florida vs Arkansas State Cure Bowl Betting Prediction

Posted by Peter Boysen on December 14, 2016 in

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-5) head to sunny Florida, Sun Belt Conference title in hand, to take on the UCF Knights (6-6) in the AutoNation Cure Bowl on Saturday. The Knights stumbled in their last two games in the regular season, while Arkansas State finished with seven wins in their last eight contests. The two teams have not met since 1991, when the Red Wolves prevailed by a 31-20 score. This season marks a major turnaround for UCF, as Scott Frost took over a program that went 0-12 last year and brought them to bowl eligibility. Take a look at our suggestions for your wager for this game as well as all of the college football betting options in the early bowl season.

Central Florida vs Arkansas State Cure Bowl Betting Prediction

When: Saturday, December 17, 2016, 5:30pm ET
Where: Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL
TV: CBS Sports Network
Radio: Arkansas State / Central Florida
Live Stream: CBSSports.com
NFL Odds: UCF (-5.5), O/U 49

Why should you bet on the Knights?

The defense has been the strength for UCF this season; for the season, they rank #49 in the nation in yards permitted and #40 in points permitted (24.1). However, they gave up a total of 83 points in those two losses that ended their regular season, so that is an element that they need to improve if they hope to have a chance in this game. On offense, they have scored about 30 points per game, but quarterback McKenzie Milton has only nine touchdown passes against seven picks. His last two games have produced 458 passing yards — but two interceptions and no touchdowns. If you like UCF, then you like the fact that they are playing near home and that traveling will distract Arkansas State.

Why should you put your money on the Red Wolves?

Arkansas State has won 15 of their last 16 Sun Belt conference games — but they have only won 1 of their last 9 games against nonconference opponents, including a 47-28 dismantling at the hands of Louisiana Tech in the R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl a year ago. They have now qualified for six straight bowl games, but they have only won two of the five that they’re already played in. They did turn around an 0-4 start and finished 7-5, and in their last eight games, they only allowed about 15 points per contest. While the American Athletic Conference has tougher competition than the Sun Belt, Arkansas State has put up stiff defense for more than half of the season.

Betting Pick and Final Score Prediction

The competition that UCF faces is tougher than what Arkansas State sees week in and week out — at least in conference play. The troubles that the Red Wolves have outside Sun Belt play worry me, so I’m going to pick the Knights. I predict a final score of UCF 27, Arkansas State 20.