Can Bruins Beat the NCAAF Odds and Beat Stanford?

Posted by Aaron . on October 15, 2015 in

The 18th-ranked UCLA Bruins will look to bounce back from a resounding home loss two weeks ago when they visit the streaking, 15th-ranked Stanford Cardinal in an intriguing Pac-12 pairing that will undoubtedly have bowl game implications for both participants. Now, let’s find out if the Bruins can pull off the road upset and bring home the bacon!

No. 18 UCLA at No. 15 Stanford Game Information

When: 10:30 PM ET, Thursday, October 15, 2015
Where: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, California
NCAAF Odds: Stanford -6½
Total: 56
TV: ESPN

They’re well-rested and have an elite running back in Paul Perkins and an explosive offense! UCLA got the snot pounded out of them in their humbling 38-23 home loss against Arizona State in Week 5 while never coming close to covering the spread as a 12.5-point home favorite. Still, the Bruins have a very good offense that ranks 38th overall (34.8 ppg) and an identical 39th in both, passing (254.8 ypg) and rushing (199.2 ypg).

Unfortunately, the Bruins have had to battle injuries as much as their opponents this season. UCLA has lost four key players on their defense alone.

UCLA Bruins NCAAF

“The two practices last week I thought we were good, and then (Sunday) we were on it again,” Mora said. “We had to rearrange the puzzle a little bit with some guys going down and some guys switching positions.”

Because they’re on a red-hot roll right now, equally well-rested and have the better team on both sides of the ball!!! Stanford rolled all over a very good Arizona team 55-17 on October 3 to easily cash in as a 12.5-point home favorite. Cardinal quarterback Kevin Hogan completed 17 of 19 passes for 21 yards and two touchdowns while gifted running back Chris McCaffery added 156 yards and one touchdown on 17 carries.

Stanford racked up a whopping 570 yards of total offense, including 314 rushing yards while keeping possession of the ball for almost 38 minutes.

Game Analysis: I know UCLA s desperate for a win right now, but I can’t bring myself to advise anyone to back the Bruins after seeing them get destroyed by Arizona State a couple of weeks ago.

Only 52 percent of the betting public likes Stanford to cover the spread but I’m certainly among them, although I will admit that I’m a bit surprised that the percentage isn’t a bit higher, particularly seeing as how the Cardinal have won seven straight against the Bruins.

Stanford Cardinals

Stanford has the very slight edge in scoring (35.0 ppg-34.8 ppg) and allows three fewer points per game defensively as well (19.0 ppg). With Stanford going 7-2 ATS in their last nine home dates against UCLA and 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings against the Bruins overall, I like the Cardinal to cover with just a bit of room to spare. Now, 52 percent of the betting public likes the Under 56 total points for this contest and again, I’m surprised that figure isn’t a bit higher, seeing as how the Under has gone 10-4 in the last 14 meetings between these Pac-12 rivals.

My Pick: Stanford 28 UCLA 21