BYU vs San Jose State Friday Night Preview and NCAAF Odds
One of the late Friday night games this week takes place out in San Jose, California, as the Brigham Young Cougars head west to take on the Spartans of San Jose State. The Cougars are favored by 12 in this road game, and the over-under total has been set at 56.5. Let’s take a closer look at this matchup.
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NCAAF Odds: BYU -13½
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BYU and San Jose State are both coming off bye weeks. When the Cougars (6-2) last played, they drilled Wagner (an FCS foe) 70-6. San Jose State (4-4) last played against New Mexico, coming away with a 31-21 victory. If the Spartans can win, they will stay in second place in the Mountain West Conference standings.
BYU started the year 2-0 before falling in tough decisions to UCLA and Michigan. Since then, though, the Cougars have won four games in a row, scoring at least 30 points in each of the four games. Quarterback Tanner Mangum went 12 for 13 for 237 yards with three scores and no picks against Wagner. Cougars tailback Algernon Brown has picked up 449 yards on the ground this year, finding the end zone seven times. While Wagner might not be the most representative foe that the Cougars have faced this season, the dominant game that the Cougars led could be telling.
Spartan’s Tyler Ervin has had a terrific year so far and is on pace to set new records for his team. The senior RB was praised by fans and football experts after scoring 300 yards against Fresno State. The rushing total was the most in an FBS game this season, and his 42 carries were a career high. Ervin is #3 in the nation in rushing yards with 1,159 and has also scored 12 touchdowns. When San Jose State beat New Mexico, he carried the ball 36 times and picked up 263 yards. He had struggled in the two games before that, rushing for a total of 95 yards.
After getting sidelined for the game vs Fresno State, Spartans quarterback Kenny Potter made a great return against New Mexico, going 16 for 20 and throwing two touchdowns. He had thrown two picks against San Diego State the week before, so this was a welcome improvement.
The Cougars are 4-1 against the spread in the last five games they have played following a straight up victory. In their last eight nonconference games, they are 6-2 against the spread. In their last 13 Friday tilts, they are 9-4 against the spread. In their last 32 games in which they have not permitted their opponent to gain 100 yards on the ground, they are 22-10 against the spread.
The Spartans are only 4-17-1 against the spread in their past 22 games coming out of the bye week. In their last eight games against a team with a winning record, they are 1-7 against the spread. In their last five November contests, they are 0-5 against the spread. In their last seven games coming after a straight up win, they are 2-5 against the spread.
Betting Odds Trends
- BYU is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
- BYU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 12 of BYU’s last 18 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of BYU’s last 6 games
- BYU is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- San Jose State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
- San Jose State is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
- San Jose State is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose State’s last 9 games at home
Given the hot streak that the Cougars are on, and given the talents of Mangum and Brown, BYU should win handily. While 13.5 points is a fairly large NCAAF betting spread, there’s nothing indicating that this won’t be a fairly large victory for Brigham Young.