Citrus Bowl: Michigan vs Florida NCAAF Betting Pick

Posted by Aaron . on December 30, 2015 in

The Michigan Wolverines head south to take on the Florida Gators in the Florida Citrus Bowl in Orlando on New Year’s Day at 1:00pm Eastern time. Michigan is a four-point favorite, and the over/under total is 42.5 points. The Gators are coming off a loss to Alabama in the SEC championship game, while Michigan comes off a whipping at the hands of Ohio State in their regular season finale. You can take your own NCAAF betting pick by clicking here!

View full TV schedule.

Why should you pick Florida (+4)?

With a win, Florida would have its sixth bowl win since 2008. Treon Harris is having a fairly solid year, given the slow pace of the Gator offense. He has thrown for 1,530 yards this season, with nine scores and five picks. In the last three games, Harris has three touchdown passes. The Gator ground game has been consistent, averaging 127.6 yards per game. It is the defense, though, that makes the Florida Gators so competitive, as they only allow 295 yards per game and hold teams to 16.5 points. Jonathan Bullard has terrorized opposing quarterbacks this year, recording 6.5 sacks.

If victorious, Florida would have its sixth bowl win since 2008.

Why should you take the Wolverines (-4)?

The Wolverines are just as salty on defense as the Gators, giving opponents just 17.2 points and 281.3 yards per game. Willie Henry has also been a factor in the pass rush, picking up 6.5 sacks. Jehu Chesson and Amara Darboh have made a solid receiving duo for Jake Rudock, as they have combined for 1,349 yards of receiving and 13 scores. While Florida did knock off Ole Miss and Georgia, Michigan was on the verge of beating Michigan State until a punt snap went awry, and Michigan State ended up taking a crazy fumble back for a touchdown on the last play of the game.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I like Florida’s defense, but I think that Michigan’s offense will have more success than Florida’s will. I’m picking the Wolverines to win 20-14, and cover that point spread.