Bowling Green and Western Michigan Engage in NCAF Betting Battle

Posted by Mickey on November 10, 2015 in

This Wednesday night, we’ll see the last two MAC teams with no conference losses facing off when the Bowling Green Falcons (7-2) visit Western Michigan (6-3). Both teams have 5-0 conference records and haven’t disappointed NCAAF betting fans . Western Michigan has won five straight and has won the last four by at least 22 points. The Falcons have won six straight, winning their last four in a row by a minimum of 24 points.
Date/Time: Wednesday, November 11, 8:00 PM
Location: Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, Michigan
TV: ESPN2
Odds: Bowling Green -3
Watch this Game Live Here

Bowling Green signal-caller Matt Johnson went 26 for 35 with 365 yards and four scores without a pick as the Falcons rolled over Ohio U. last week, 62-24. While four touchdowns sound like a big day, they were actually not as many as he had thrown in the three previous games, in which he had thrown five scores each. He also has a six-touchdown game this year. He leads the NCAA with 33 touchdown passes through nine games this season. Even though he is a senior, this is his first season to play all the way through, as he missed most of the 2014 season with an injury.
Bowling Green
Last week saw Western Michigan rout Ball State 54-7 on Thursday night. The Western Michigan Broncos controlled both sides of the game, rolling up 711 yards of offense and holding Ball State to just 152. Junior wide receiver Corey Davis pulled in seven passes for three scores and 163 yards. Quarterback Zach Terrell went 16 for 22 for 324 yards. The ground game was also strong, as tailback Jamauri Bogan ran 18 times, racking up 171 yards and a touchdown.
So far this year, Bowling Green is 1-5 against the spread when they are favored to win by 3.5 to 10 points. This week they are favored to win by 4.5. The Falcons are 4-0 on the “over” in their last four games against teams with records better than .500, and they are 5-2 on the “over” in their last seven MAC games. Western Michigan is 16-5 against the spread in their last 21 contests, and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 home contests. In their last eight games against schools with records over .500, they are 6-2 against the spread.

Betting Odds Trends

Bowling Green Falcons
  • Bowling Green is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Bowling Green is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Bowling Green’s last 12 games
  • Bowling Green is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Bowling Green’s last 8 games on the road
  • Bowling Green is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Western Michigan
  • Bowling Green is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Western Michigan
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green’s last 6 games when playing Western Michigan
  • Bowling Green is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
  • Bowling Green is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Western Michigan Broncos
  • Western Michigan is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games
  • Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Western Michigan is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
  • Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Western Michigan’s last 16 games at home
  • Western Michigan is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Bowling Green
  • Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Michigan’s last 6 games when playing Bowling Green
  • Western Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Bowling Green
  • Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Bowling Green

Western Michigan NCAAF

Both Bowling Green and Western Michigan have shown the ability to score whenever they want to. However, Western Michigan just finished dominating a team defensively and is hosting this contest. The Broncos only give up 221.1 passing yards per game, but Bowling Green gives up 268.7. Even though Bowling Green is favored to win this one, I would strongly consider taking the Broncos as their current track record shows them to be a little better prepared, especially on the defensive end, than Bowling Green.