NCAAF Betting: Mississippi State at Alabama Analysis

Posted by Derrick Harper on October 30, 2020 in

The Mike Leach era at Mississippi State started with a bang. His Bulldogs traveled to Baton Rouge to take on defending national champion LSU and strolled out of Death Valley with a 44-34 victory. That being said, let’s have a look at both teams to see how they arrive into this matchup and so you can place your bets against their NCAAF odds.

Mississippi State at Alabama Betting Analysis

Mississippi State was riding high, and then everything came to a screeching halt. Leach’s “Air Raid” offense was suddenly grounded, as his Bulldogs could only muster 30 points in their next three games, all losses.

Mississippi State’s only score in a loss to Kentucky was a safety. Things are going bad, but just when you didn’t think things could get any worse, a trip to Tuscaloosa awaits Leach and his squad.

Even though Mississippi State has had two weeks to prepare, it’s never easy to prepare for Nick Saban and his Alabama Crimson Tide. Heisman Trophy candidate Mac Jones and the Tide offense have been putting up huge numbers.

Even though wide receiver Jaylen Waddle was lost for the season, the receiving corps is still loaded. Devonta Smith, John Metchie III, and Slade Bolden picked up the slack, and the Tide’s offense kept on rolling.

Combine the Alabama air attack with a solid offensive line and a potent rushing attack, and you have an offense that is very hard to stop.

After a rough game against Ole Miss, the Alabama defense has turned the corner. If you’re going to score on the Crimson Tide, you need to do it early, as the Tide’s defense tends to get stronger later in the game.

Mississippi State will need to put points on the board early if it wants to stay in the game.

With all of the offensive struggles that Mississippi State has been having, it has yet to name a starting quarterback. The Bulldogs offense leads the SEC in turnovers with 12.

Their offensive line has had its issues, and without Kylin Hill, who opted to prepare for the NFL draft rather than play this season, the running game has suffered.

The one good thing going for Mississippi State right now is its defense. The Bulldogs are giving up fewer than 300 yards per contest.

Mississippi State’s secondary has been an outstanding unit thus far. It has given up less than 200 yards passing per game. The tough secondary, along with a defensive front that has stifled opponents’ running games, has kept Mississippi State in most contests.

The Bulldogs defense has yet to see an offense like Alabama’s. Not only will they have to control Jones and the passing game, but they’ll also need to slow down Najee Harris and the Alabama rushing attack.

Look for Alabama to try to keep Mississippi State’s offense off of the field and wear down the Bulldogs defense. Alabama’s offense will allow them to control the tempo, and they will be able to take care of the football.

Mississippi State could keep this close early on, but as the game goes on and the defense tires, look for Alabama to hit some deep passes and make some big plays on offense.

With the Bulldogs’ sporadic offense and Alabama’s strong defense, it will be hard for Mississippi State to hang with the No. 2 team in the nation.