Best Early 2016 College Football Win Total Bets

Posted by Aaron . on July 6, 2016 in

We’re getting closer to the opening weekend of the 2016 NCAA football betting season. Even now, though, you can wager on season win totals for the regular season. Let’s take a look at some of the more popular teams out there and consider it makes sense to go over or under.

In Depth Analysis on the Best Early 2016 College Football Win Total Bets

Clemson: 10 (Over -120, Under EVEN)

Tough road games: Auburn, Florida State
Tough home games: Louisville

That Auburn game opens the season, which is always a little tricky, especially with young college athletes. The game at Florida State comes after the bye, which means that any minor injuries should be rested. Louisville is a real question mark after losing some tough games last year, but they should be up. Even so, Clemson avoids North Carolina in cross-divisional play in the ACC, and I don’t see them losing two of these games. The only loss I see for them is possibly at Florida State, so I’m taking the over.

Tennessee: 10 (Over -110, Under -110)

Tough road games: Texas A&M, Georgia
Tough home games: Alabama, Florida

That nonconference schedule is all cake (Appalachian State, Virginia Tech, Ohio U., and Tennessee Tech). So no worries there. But even with its two best quarterbacks having transferred out at the end of last season, Texas A&M is a tough road game, especially for a team that will still be awfully young. Georgia welcomes a new coach, which could play toward Tennessee’s favor. Will the Gators be able to move the ball this year? They have an ironclad defense. And Alabama? I just don’t see the Vols winning two of those four tough games. I’m taking the under here.

Alabama: 9.5 (Over -110, Under -110)

Tough neutral site game: USC (in Dallas)
Tough road games: Ole Miss, Arkansas, Tennessee, LSU
Tough home games: Auburn

USC has a new coach, so I think they’ll still be ironing some things out in Week 1. Ole Miss beat the Tide last year, so I’m sure Nick Saban will have the Tide ready for revenge. Arkansas is a puzzling team that can knock off anyone, but can they deal with the Alabama defense? Tennessee is exciting, but I don’t see that young team beating Alabama. LSU got trucked by Alabama last year and hasn’t made any significant additions. The game against Auburn is always a wild card, of course. But I don’t see the Tide losing three of these tough games. I’m taking the over here.

Michigan State: 8 (Over +115, Under -135)

Tough road games: Notre Dame
Tough home games: Wisconsin, BYU, Michigan, Ohio State

Eight games seems a little low for the Big Ten champion, even after the departure of quarterback Connor Cook. There’s also that fairly easy road slate — and the easy cross-divisional schedule in the Big Ten (no Nebraska or Iowa on the schedule). I don’t see the Spartans losing more than a couple of these matchups this season, so I’m taking the over here.