NCAAF Odds Game Preview: Texas vs Baylor

Posted by Aaron . on December 3, 2015 in

Texas and Baylor have met 98 times – and Texas has won 72 of those meetings. However, Baylor has had the series under control lately, winning four of five and covering the NCAAF odds spread in seven of the last eight. Baylor did not win the Big 12 title and has no shot at a berth in the College Football Playoff. The two teams are just playing for pride at this point when they meet on Saturday. The Bears are 20.5-point favorites.

Why Should You Bet On The Texas Longhorns?

The Longhorns won three of four October games but have lost two in a row. The Longhorns lost their last game at home to Texas Tech on Thanksgiving, falling late 48-45. The Longhorns had come back from a 24-10 deficit to lead 38-34 in the fourth quarter, only to go down 48-38 and muster a mad rally that just fell short. Texas rushed for 403 yards, led by Chris Warren’s tremendous 276- yard night that featured four touchdowns, including a 91-yard score in the second quarter. The week before that, the Longhorns fell to West Virginia, 38-20. Because Texas has outrushed five of their last six opponents and outgained four of those six over time, there is some hope that Texas can stay closer than 20 points with Baylor.

Why Should You Bet On The Baylor Bears?

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Baylor was 8-0 at one point but is 9-2 now. Injuries at quarterback have led to the recent slide. When freshman Jarrett Stidham started against Oklahoma at home, the Bears fell 44-34. Stidham did upset Oklahoma State the next week on the road, but Stidham went down with an ankle injury. Chris Johnson started last week at TCU, as the Bears fell in overtime to the Horned Frogs. Baylor outrushed TCU 273-154 and outgained them 335-302, but they made five costly turnovers, one of which the Frogs returned for a touchdown in the second period. Johnson went 7 for 24 on a night when the weather was awful. The additional week of practice and the promise of better weather should mean a more competitive night for Johnson this week.

Baylor will have its third-string quarterback on the field again and are likely to be down after losing the possibility to contend for the Bi 12 title. The fact that Baylor is at home adds three or four points to this spread. I like Texas taking advantage of a Baylor team down at the wrong time, so I would take Texas with all those points.

Our Texas @ Baylor NCAAF Odds Betting Prediction

In their last 17 meetings, Texas is 13-4 straight up against the Bears. That doesn’t mean a lot given Baylor’s recent ascendancy, though. Consider the mental factors of this game when placing this bet.