Friday Night NCAAF Betting: TCU Looks for Revenge Against Baylor

Posted by Mickey on November 26, 2015 in

When Baylor (9-1) visits TCU (9-2) this Friday, both teams will be regretting what might have been. Baylor fell to Oklahoma a couple of weeks ago, ruining their bid for a perfect season and a CFP bid. TCU, riddled by injuries and beset by a suspect defense, has fallen to both Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. Baylor remains on the edge of the playoff hunt, but they would have to leapfrog Michigan State, Notre Dame and Oklahoma to get in – which means that Baylor needs to win out, and Oklahoma needs to lose to Oklahoma State. Let’s take a look at some of the ins and outs, plus the NCAAF betting odds for this electrifying Friday Night matchup.

Baylor Bears vs TCU Game Preview and Betting Odds

Date/Time: Friday, November 26th, 7:30 PM
Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas
Game Odds: TCU -1½
Live stream: The Game can be live streamed here
TV coverage: ABC

Baylor is in the hunt for their sixth straight road win. Second-string quarterback Jarrett Stidham has completed 68.8 percent of his passes this season, throwing for 12 scores and 1,265 yards, with just two picks, but he is sidelined with an ankle injury. The Bears have two solid receivers in KD Cannon and Corey Coleman, who have combined for 26 scores and 2,080 yards of receptions. The Bears’ running attack has picked up the slack while the passing game has been in limbo with quarterback injuries, averaging 293.4 yards per game, led by Shock Linwood’s 1,240 yards and 10 scores. On defense, Baylor has been a little shaky, permitting 27.9 points and 406 yards per game. The Bears’ leading tackler is Grant Campbell (73). Xavien Howard leads the team with four picks, and the top sack artist is Shawn Oakman (4.5).

TCU hopes to win 10+ games for the sixth season in the last eight. Trevone Boykin, the starting quarterback, remains questionable with an injured ankle. In his stead, Bram Kohlhausen has completed 62.8 percent of his passes, rolling up 369 yards and three scores against one pick. Kolby Listenbee and KaVontae Turpin have gained a combined 1,162 receiving yards, scoring a dozen touchdowns. On the ground, TCU averages 224.7 yards per game, led by Aaron Green’s 10 scores and 1,100 yards. On the defensive side, TCU allows 26.5 points per game. Their leading tackler is Derrick Kindred (74). Corry O’Meally leads the team with 10 passes defensed, and Josh Carraway is the top pass rusher, with seven sacks.


TCU Horned Frogs

Betting Odds Trends

Baylor Bears

In their last five road contests against a team with a winning home record, Baylor is 4-1 against the spread. In their last 41 games overall, the Bears are 27-13-1 against the spread. Baylor has won the last two games between these teams, but the deciding margin in both cases was just three points. The spread here is Baylor (+1.5), but I like TCU to rise up and get revenge for that loss in Waco last year – IF Boykin plays. He remains questionable; if it turns out that he doesn’t get into the lineup, I would go with the Bears. That’s likely to be a game-time decision.