Friday Night NCAAF Betting: TCU Looks for Revenge Against Baylor
When Baylor (9-1) visits TCU (9-2) this Friday, both teams will be regretting what might have been. Baylor fell to Oklahoma a couple of weeks ago, ruining their bid for a perfect season and a CFP bid. TCU, riddled by injuries and beset by a suspect defense, has fallen to both Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. Baylor remains on the edge of the playoff hunt, but they would have to leapfrog Michigan State, Notre Dame and Oklahoma to get in – which means that Baylor needs to win out, and Oklahoma needs to lose to Oklahoma State. Let’s take a look at some of the ins and outs, plus the NCAAF betting odds for this electrifying Friday Night matchup.
Baylor Bears vs TCU Game Preview and Betting Odds
TCU hopes to win 10+ games for the sixth season in the last eight. Trevone Boykin, the starting quarterback, remains questionable with an injured ankle. In his stead, Bram Kohlhausen has completed 62.8 percent of his passes, rolling up 369 yards and three scores against one pick. Kolby Listenbee and KaVontae Turpin have gained a combined 1,162 receiving yards, scoring a dozen touchdowns. On the ground, TCU averages 224.7 yards per game, led by Aaron Green’s 10 scores and 1,100 yards. On the defensive side, TCU allows 26.5 points per game. Their leading tackler is Derrick Kindred (74). Corry O’Meally leads the team with 10 passes defensed, and Josh Carraway is the top pass rusher, with seven sacks.
Betting Odds Trends
- Baylor is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baylor’s last 11 games
- Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor’s last 6 games on the road
- Baylor is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing TCU
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor’s last 5 games when playing TCU
- TCU is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games
- TCU is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of TCU’s last 5 games
- TCU is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games at home
- TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of TCU’s last 7 games at home
- TCU is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Baylor
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU’s last 5 games when playing Baylor
In their last five road contests against a team with a winning home record, Baylor is 4-1 against the spread. In their last 41 games overall, the Bears are 27-13-1 against the spread. Baylor has won the last two games between these teams, but the deciding margin in both cases was just three points. The spread here is Baylor (+1.5), but I like TCU to rise up and get revenge for that loss in Waco last year – IF Boykin plays. He remains questionable; if it turns out that he doesn’t get into the lineup, I would go with the Bears. That’s likely to be a game-time decision.