Predicting College Football Betting Upsets in 2018.

B1G College Football Odds Analysis

Written by on May 29, 2016

When it comes time to figure out who will be in the College Football Playoff, a betting odds analysis of the Big Ten conference is always part of the conversation. Michigan State made it to the CFP last year, and the year before that, Ohio State made it to the playoff — and won the national championship.

B1G College Football Odds Analysis


Ohio State 3-1

The Buckeyes started 10-0 last year, but then they lost at home to Michigan State in the waning seconds of the fourth quarter, so even with a win over Michigan, Ohio State missed the Big Ten championship — and the playoff. They had to “settle” for a top-tier Fiesta Bowl appearance, beating Notre Dame easily. The Buckeyes only have three starters each on offense and defense returning, but one of those is quarterback J.T. Barrett. Ohio State faces Michigan State on the road this time, but they are the prohibitive favorite this year.

Michigan 5-1

Jim Harbaugh turned the Wolverines around sooner than many had thought, running out to a 10-3 record. They do have a vacancy at quarterback, with Jake Rudock out of eligibility, and they have two tough road games in Michigan State and Ohio State. That game against the Buckeyes is on the last week of the regular season, and that could be for the title of their division of the Big Ten.

Michigan State 8-1

The Spartans have won two of the last three Big Ten titles. However, they no longer have Connor Cook at quarterback, as he graduated after this year’s team went to the College Football Playoff. They have two big holes to fill in the offensive tackle, at center and left tackle, and they also have a hole at wide receiver and another at defensive end. However, Mark Dantonio has built an immense coaching resume in the area of developing talent.

Iowa 14-1

Quarterback C.J. Beathard returns to lead the Iowa Hawkeyes, who entered last year’s Big Ten title game undefeated. The team also will have Thorpe Award winner Desmond King back. So this is the team most likely to come out of their side of the Big Ten, but they do have a lot to prove. They won game after game last year, but they still didn’t have the respect of the national press because of their schedule. Can they make the next step this year?

Wisconsin 17-1

It’s easy to forget that the Badgers ran off a 10-3 season of their own last year under new coach Paul Chryst, including a win over USC in the Holiday Bowl. The fact that Alabama blew them out in Week 1 left them out of the national title chatter. This year, they open with LSU — but at Lambeau Field instead of in the South. Running back Corey Clement will be back, and the team could threaten Iowa’s hold on the Big Ten West. And here is the rest of the odds analysis: Penn State 40-1 Nebraska 50-1 Minnesota 150-1 Northwestern 200-1 Illinois 700-1 Indiana 800-1 Maryland, Rutgers, Purdue 900-1