LSU @ Auburn NCAA Football Week 4 Picks & Odds

Posted by Aaron . on July 14, 2016 in

Last year, when Auburn headed to Baton Rouge to take on LSU, Leonard Fournette and the rest of the LSU offense steamrolled Auburn, 45-21. Fournette averaged 12.0 yards per carry, rumbling for 228 yards on 19 attempts and scoring three touchdowns. He wasn’t the only LSU Tiger to gash the Auburn defense, as Brandon Harris averaged 8.3 yards per carry and Derrius Guice averaged 9.2 yards per carry. Despite the fact that other SEC foes found ways to slow down the LSU attack, Auburn faces a mighty task in their Week 4 college football odds matchup as LSU comes to town.

Looking at my Expert Tigers (LSU) @ Tigers (Auburn) NCAA Football Week 4 Pick

When: Saturday, September 24, 2016, Time TBA
Where: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Radio: Auburn and LSU
Live Stream: TBA
NCAAF Odds: LSU (-6.5)

Why should you bet on LSU?

In 2015, LSU averaged more than 32 points per game and averaged 257 yards per game on the ground. It’s important to remember that when the teams met at Auburn two years ago, Auburn was on the winning end of a 41-7 rout. LSU needs to keep finding ways to open holes for Fournette, but they also need to throw the ball down the field. Fortunately, Auburn has one of the weaker defenses in the SEC West coming into 2016, so LSU should have the advantage here.

Why should you put your money on Auburn?

How do you beat LSU? Find a way to make them pass the ball. The LSU passing attack is very conservative; even in that romp over Auburn last year, LSU quarterback Brandon Harris went 12 for 17 — for just 74 yards and throwing for a short score. If you can get LSU into 2nd and 3rd and long, then you have them at a disadvantage. Harris did throw for 2,165 yards last season, with 13 touchdowns and six interceptions. However, he needs to pick up his production if LSU can become a multidimensional offense. The key for Auburn is finding a way to bottle up that run.

My Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I like Auburn to play LSU much tougher at home. I see this as more of a see-saw game, back and forth, as neither defense was particularly stout last year. I don’t think LSU will cover that line though, so I’m predicting a 31-27 LSU win. So I’m picking Auburn to cover.