Arizona State at Arizona Week 13 Betting Pick & Prediction

Posted by Peter Boysen on November 24, 2016 in

This year’s Duel in the Desert features a little less intrigue than it has in years past. Arizona State (5-6) is playing for bowl eligibility with a win, while Arizona (2-9) basically has just the role of the spoiler ahead of them. Arizona took a 42-17 spanking on the road from lowly Oregon State last week, but Arizona State took their fifth loss in a row in significant fashion last week, losing 44-18 to Washington. The teams meet for the 90th time on Friday, with Arizona leading the series 48-40- 1. The Sun Devils won last year, 52-37, at home. Take a look at all of our college football betting picks for this huge rivalry weekend.

Arizona State at Arizona Week 13 Betting Pick & Prediction

When: Friday, November 25, 2016, 9:30pm ET
Where: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ
TV: ABC/ESPN (may vary by region)
Radio: Arizona State / Arizona
Live Stream: WatchESPN
NCAAF Odds: Arizona State (-3), O/U 68.5

Why should you bet on the Sun Devils?

It seems like about five years ago, but it was actually this season that the Sun Devils stood at 5-1 and were considered by some as a contender in the Pac-12 South. However, they have now dropped five in a row, and they took the brunt of Washington’s frustration last week, coming a week after the Huskies lost to USC and fell out of the top four in the College Football Playoff rankings. The Sun Devils do have a healthy passing offense, picking up 249 yards per game, and they score 33.2 points per game. Unfortunately, they give up 38.4 points per game (which explains that 5-6 record). Against Arizona, though, they should be able to control the narrative on both sides of the ball.

Why should you put your money on the Wildcats?

Betting on the Wildcats is a difficult argument to make. In Pac-12 play this year, they only have lost one conference game by single digits, while they have lost six by three touchdowns or more. They score 22 points a game, but they give up almost 39 points a game, which is not a recipe for success. Given how well the Sun Devils move the ball, and given how easily the Wildcats stall on offense, this will be a tough line for Arizona to cover.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I know that rivalry games tend to turn out much tighter than other matchups, but I don’t see the Wildcats offering much resistance to Arizona State here. I predict a final score of Arizona State 27, Arizona 17.