Sugar Bowl Oklahoma State vs Mississippi NCAAF Betting Lines

Posted by Aaron . on December 30, 2015 in

There was a time when Oklahoma State was seen as a College Football Playoff team, but then they lost their last two games (to Baylor and Oklahoma) and didn’t even contend for the Big 12 title. Ole Miss got over a disappointing setback to win (and cover) the last two games in SEC play. Ole Miss is a seven-point favorite in this year’s Sugar Bowl, set for New Year’s Day in the Superdome in New Orleans. Click here for NCAAF betting lines.

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Why should you pick Oklahoma State (+7)?

The Cowboys opened 10-0, winning against five teams who would end up in bowl games of their own. However, Baylor came to Stillwater and knocked off Oklahoma State. They still had a chance to win the Bedlam game at home against Oklahoma and win the Big 12 (and maybe make the CFP). However, Oklahoma routed the Cowboys, 58-23. Even so, they are 2-1 against the spread for the year when they get at least six points. Under Mike Gundy, OSU has gone 6-3 straight up (5-4 ATS) in bowl games. They could stay competitive against this Ole Miss team.

Under Mike Gundy, OSU has gone 6-3 straight up (5-4 ATS) in bowl games.

Why should you wager on Ole Miss (-7)?

The Rebels started the season 4-0, including a shocking win over Alabama on the road. However, Ole Miss then went to Florida and coughed up a game, before losing at AAC foe Memphis. Ole Miss still could have won the SEC West, but then a wacky play in overtime cost them against Arkansas, 53-52. Ole Miss still beat LSU and Mississippi State but came in second in the SEC West. Their resume is more impressive than Oklahoma State’s if you take a look at the games they have won.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

Ole Miss finished strong down the stretch, while Oklahoma State faltered in their last games. Ole Miss has a better running game and a more solid defense. They are 3-1 against the spread when favored by seven points or fewer. I like them to win and cover here, with a 31-21 victory.