2020 NCAAF Betting: Virginia Vs Clemson Analysis

Posted by Derrick Harper on October 2, 2020 in

On Saturday in Death Valley, the No. 1 team in the nation will be in action, as the top-ranked Clemson Tigers host the Virginia Cavaliers. The last time these two teams met was for the ACC Championship last December. Clemson owned Virginia and won the ACC Championship Game by a score of 62-17. Let’s take a closer look at both teams to find out how they arrive into this matchup so you can make your bets against their College Football odds.

Virginia at Clemson Betting Preview

The Tigers have gotten off to a 2-0 start with victories over The Citadel and Wake Forest. Clemson’s offense has been led by Heisman Trophy candidate Trevor Lawrence.

Lawrence has thrown for 519 yards with four touchdowns in limited action. When Lawrence isn’t putting on an aerial show, the Clemson rushing attack is taking over.

Clemson is averaging just under 175 rushing yards per game. Travis Etienne has 170 rushing yards on the season.

Clemson has one of the top defenses in college football. The Tigers returned all four of last year’s starters on the defensive line. Combine that with a stacked secondary, and Clemson has a defense that will give any team fits.

The Cavaliers got off to a nice start to the 2020 season as they defeated the Duke Blue Devils 38-20. If Virginia wants to beat Clemson, it will have to rely on its strong defense.

In last week’s victory, the Cavaliers forced Duke into seven turnovers. If Virginia wants to stay in this game, they’ll need more turnovers.

Virginia’s defense returns a lot of experience. With an experienced backfield, a linebacking corp that has seen a lot of game action, and a defensive line full of promise, Virginia has the personnel to make things difficult for Lawrence. The Cavaliers limited Duke to just 57 yards on the ground last week.

As for the Cavaliers’ offense, they have made some changes. Gone is dual-threat quarterback Bryce Perkins. Brennan Armstrong has taken over under center.

Armstrong struggled at times against Duke, and the offense turned the ball over three times, with two of those being Armstrong interceptions. If Virginia wants to stay in this game, it will need to take advantage of its experienced offensive line and use the ground game to eat some clock.

Clemson comes into this one as a 28.5-point favorite. We don’t see Virginia scoring many points, as Clemson’s defensive unit will overwhelm the Cavaliers offense.

However, things won’t be easy for Lawrence and the Clemson offense. Virginia’s defense will make scoring difficult for Clemson.

In looking at some numbers, Clemson has owned this series as it is 39-8-1 all-time against Virginia. As for some betting facts, Clemson is 14-6 against the spread in its last 20 games. Virginia is 2-4 against the spread in its last six games against the Tigers.

Even though Clemson will win the game, we like Virginia and the points in this one. Virginia will score some points late in the game to make the game closer.

As for the over/under of 55.5, with both of these teams having good defenses, we think that this one stays under the 55.5.