2016 Baylor Bears Betting Predictions

Posted by Aaron . on August 20, 2016 in

If you’re into college football betting, then the turmoil that has taken place at Baylor has certainly grabbed your attention. The Bears lost their head coach, athletic director and university president to scandal (although all of their assistant coaches have stayed), and quarterback Jarrett Stidham transferred out as well. What this means is that a team that many thought could win the Big 12 title will be going through a tremendous amount of transition.

Let’s Take a Look at the 2016 Baylor Bears Betting Predictions

Baylor will not cover the spread against SMU

Last year, SMU hung around with Baylor for the first half, but then Baylor opened the floodgates on offense and rolled to a 56-21 victory. The problem for SMU was a lack of depth on the defensive side of the ball. However, Baylor will not have the big passing attack they had last year. While they still have a strong running game, they also will face an SMU team that has a lot more depth. So as long as that spread is bigger than 14, don’t expect the Bears to cover it.

Baylor will beat Oklahoma State, but just barely

On paper, the Cowboys are a lot better than Baylor. Even though Mason Rudolph was able to light the Bears up for 430 yards and three scores last year, the Oklahoma State defense just couldn’t keep Baylor out of the end zone, as the Bears won 45-35. Baylor saw all-conference corner Xavien Howard leave for the NFL, so they have a big hole for Ryan Reid to fill in that secondary. Since the game is in Waco, and since Oklahoma State doesn’t like playing defense at all, I see Baylor winning another barnburner, but it will be closer than 10 points.

Texas will defeat Baylor again

Last year, when the Longhorns knocked off the Bears by six points in Waco, it was a major upset. This year, with a stronger Texas defense and a Bear team that has lost key players on both sides of the ball, it won’t be nearly as much as an upset. I like these two teams to play in a defensive struggle, and Texas has a better secondary than Baylor does. I think Texas wins, but by no more than a touchdown.

Baylor will lose five of their last six

After Texas, the Bears face TCU, Oklahoma, Kansas State, Texas Tech and West Virginia. Oklahoma and West Virginia are road games, and the Texas Tech game takes place in Arlington at AT&T Stadium. TCU and Oklahoma have defenses that are too strong for Baylor, West Virginia is a house of horrors for just about every Big 12 team (and Baylor has never won there), and the Texas Tech game will be a track meet that Baylor won’t have the passing game to win. Kansas State has a reputation for reaching out and grabbing superior teams when they least expect it — and they won’t be that much better.

Baylor will try to bring back Art Briles after one season

With the big dropoff coming in the program, that booster pressure is just going to intensify, and the Board of Regents will face serious momentum from donors about bringing the program’s most successful coach back. Jim Grobe is a nice guy, but Briles’ assistants are still all on staff, which is the most telling sign that Briles’ departure is a temporary one.