Texas vs Iowa State Expert Betting Pick

Posted by Aaron . on February 11, 2016 in

If you’re looking for some value-packed college basketball betting matchups for this coming weekend, then look no further than the Big 12 pairing between No. 15 Iowa State and No. 25 Texas.

You see, this contest between top 25 national title contenders features an Iowa State team looking to extract some serious revenge after falling to their conference rivals almost one month ago to the day.

Now, let’s find out if the Cyclones can get their revenge or whether the Longhorns will win both regular season meetings against their higher-ranked rivals.

How to Bet on Iowa State vs Texas and TV Info

When: February 13, 2016, 8:30 PM ET
Where: Hilton Coliseum, Ames, Iowa
TV: ESPN
Radio: Cyclones Radio Network
Stream Option: WatchESPN
Opening NCAAB Lines: TBA

Why Bet on Iowa State

Because they’re playing at home and have revenge on their minds!

The struggling Cyclones (17-7 SU, 11-9-1 ATS) were on the wrong end of a heartbreaking 85-82 overtime loss against Texas Tech on Wednesday night while failing to cover the spread as a 2.5-point road favorite to fall to 1-3 SU and ATS over their last four games.

The good news for Iowa State fans and prospective betting backers is the fact that the Cyclones are one of the best offensive teams in the country. Iowa State averages a stellar 82.2 points per game to rank 17th in scoring, although they’re pretty awful in allowing 73.7 points per game defensively (233rd).

The bad news is that, while the Cyclones have gone 11-3 SU at home, Iowa State is also just 5-6-1 ATS at home this season.

Why Bet on Texas

Because they’ve been on fire when it comes to covering the spread!

The Longhorns (16-8 SU, 12-11 ATS) had their four-game SU winning streak snapped in their heartbreaking 63-60 loss against No. 3 Oklahoma on Monday night, but managed to cover the spread as a 7.5-point road underdog to improve to a stellar 7-0 ATS over their last seven games.

The Horns average 72.2 points per game (205th) while limiting their opponents to 66.4 points per game defensively (56th). Texas has compiled an impressive 5-2 ATS mark on the road this season while covering the spread in each of their last four road dates.

The Longhorns got a game-high 28 points from Isaiah Taylor in their 94-91 overtime in over the Cyclones on Jan. 12 while four other players reached double digits in scoring in the win.

Expert Betting Analysis and Free Pick

I’m not real fond of Iowa State’s defense, but I am going to back the Cyclones to get the outright win at home and narrow ATS cover – depending on what the spread is. If the college basketball betting line stays under five points, I like the Cyclones to cover the spread. If the spread reaches six points or more, I like the underrated Longhorns to cover.

The Cyclones average exactly 10.0 points per game more than the Longhorns and while they allow 7.3 points per game more than their Big 12 rivals, I believe the fact that they’re struggling right now – plus the age-old revenge factor – will spur them on to victory.

Texas is just 2-4 SU over its last six road games and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road dates against the Cyclones.

Iowa State had won four straight until losing to the Horns earlier this season and I believe they’ll get another win in this contest.

My final score prediction is Iowa State 85 Texas 80