Providence vs USC March Madness First Four Game 4 Betting Prediction

Posted by Peter Boysen on March 13, 2017 in

Wednesday night features the second meeting of two #11 seeds in a play-in to enter the field of 64 — and meet the SMU Mustangs on Friday. Providence (20-12) fell to Creighton in the first round of the Big East tournament, while USC (24-9) beat Washington in the first round of the Pac-12 tournament and then fell to UCLA by just a bucket, 76-74. Don’t forget to check out more for March Madness odds by clicking here.

Providence vs USC March Madness First Four Game 4 Betting Prediction

When: Wednesday, March 15, 2017, 9:10pm ET
Where: UD Arena, Dayton, OH
TV: truTV
RadioProvidence / USC
Live Stream: March Madness Live
NCAAB Odds: TBA

Why should you bet on the Friars?

Providence amped up their game down the stretch, picking up home wins against Butler, Xavier and Marquette while also winning at then-#23 Creighton in the last weeks of conference play. The tournament selection committee had to recognize that effort down the stretch in their decision to select the Friars. In their tournament loss to Creighton, Providence went into the locker room at halftime up three. Creighton was playing without their starting point guard Maurice Watson Jr. (knee), and Marcus Foster, their leading scorer, was mired in foul trouble much of the game. Kyron Cartwright led the Friars with 15 points — but Providence doomed their efforts with 22 turnovers, 15 in the second half. If you like Providence, you think their speed and (hopefully improved) ball security will serve them well against a bigger Trojan team.

Why should you put your money on the Trojans?

USC went through a tough stretch late in their Pac-12 slate, losing four in a row (including a bad loss at Arizona State), but apparently the committee thought they did enough by beating Washington State and then Washington twice before falling to UCLA by two. The Trojans played gritty defense against UCLA, holding them 15 points below their 91-point average. USC never held a lead in the game, and UCLA led by as many as 14 in the first half, but the Trojans stayed close behind Jordan Mclaughlin’s 18 points and Elijah Stewart’s 17. However, both of these scorers had open looks in the lane in the last minute but missed. That gritty defense should do the job against a Providence team that doesn’t have the manpower to compete in the post with the Trojans.

Betting Pick and Final Score Prediction

Providence had the better run at the end of the season, but I think USC just has too much size inside for the Friars to get by them. I predict a final score of USC 72, Providence 66.