Oregon Ducks vs California Golden Bears NCAAB Pick

Posted by Aaron . on February 11, 2016 in

The #11 Oregon Ducks head south to take on the California Golden Bears on Thursday night in Pac-12 play. The Ducks (20-4) lead the Pac-12, while the Golden Bears (15-8) would likely have to win the Pac-12 tournament to get into the NCAA Tournament that this point. Cal is coming in off a 76-61 home win over Stanford, while the Ducks won last at home against Utah, prevailing 76-66 on Sunday. Let’s analyze both sides NCAAB online predictions for this matchup.

Oregon Ducks vs California Golden Bears NCAAB Pick

When: Thursday, February 11, 9 PM EST
Where: Haas Pavilion, Berkeley, California
TV: ESPN 2
Radio: Oregon IMG Sports Network
Stream Option: WatchESPN
Opening NCAAB Odds: TBA

Why should you bet on the Ducks?

Oregon has won six games in a row, and the main reason is Dillon Brooks, a top candidate for Pac-12 Player of the Year. Against Utah, he dropped 30 points and dished out nine assists — both career bests — and Elgin Cook scored 12, while Chris Boucher added 15 more. The Ducks have now won 22 straight home games, and they just need one more home win to tie the school record. The Ducks are also a salty defense, snatching 14 turnovers from the Utes and turning them into 19 points. When the Utes would make a run in this game and push the lead down into single digits, Oregon would respond by running a play through Brooks. This happened four times in the second half, and each time Brooks got a bucket to push the lead back over 10. He punctuated the Ducks’ night with a three-pointer in the last minute to close out the Oregon scoring. The Ducks are 9-2 in Pac-12 play, their best start in conference action since 2001-02, which was also the last season when they won the Pac-12. They have not had a 20-4 record after 24 contests since 2007-08. Both of those teams were coached by Ernie Kent, but this looks like it might well be their year to win the conference again.

Why should you put your money on Cal?

The Golden Bears have been waiting for Kameron Rooks to play a complete game for them. He sat out a year with an injured knee, but against Stanford he finally posted a double-double (11 points, 12 boards). Jordan Mathews also scored 18, sending Cal to a win and breaking a four-game losing streak for the program to Stanford. Jaylen Brown also poured in 16, and Cal remained perfect at home (14-0) and have now won 15 games in a row in their own arena. Cal led by as many as 26 points in this game, as shooting 53 percent in the first half gave them a huge advantage early, and they never looked back. Their defense held Stanford to just 33 percent shooting during those same 20 minutes.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

If people are going to take Oregon seriously, they have to win a big conference road game. By knocking off Cal, they will be ending a storied program’s lengthy home winning streak and silencing one of the toughest crowds in the NCAA. I like Oregon’s chances to do just this; I am picking them to beat the Cardinal, 75-72.