West Virginia vs Florida NCAAB Betting Overview

Posted by Aaron . on January 29, 2016 in

This Saturday, the Florida Gators host the West Virginia Mountaineers at high noon Eastern time, as the SEC and Big 12 are interrupting their conference schedules with 10 matchups on Saturday. Let’s take a look at what happens when Bob Huggins’ press-crazy team heads south for what is sure to provide some fun NCAAB betting action over the weekend.

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Why should you bet on the Gators?

Florida (13-7, 5-3 SEC) is one of the top programs in the conference, but they are coming off an upset at Vanderbilt on Wednesday. Damian Jones led the way for the Commodores as they upset the Gators 60-59. Florida had entered that game on a three-game winning streak, including a 95-63 rout of Auburn last weekend, in which they posted more points than any other SEC team had all season. The Gators did lose forward Justin Leon to a concussion early on, and the Gators simply could not shoot well enough to keep the Commodores at bay.

However, you can expect that the Gators will be looking to put that loss behind them and get back to their high-octane offense against West Virginia. They only shot 32.9 percent against Vanderbilt, and they missed their first 11 three-point attempts. Expect the law of averages to kick back in for this team as they prepare to face the Mountaineers — who are a lot tougher at home than they are on the road.

Why should you take West Virginia?

The Mountaineers force the other team to turn the ball over 27.3 percent of the time, and they have a 43.1 offensive rebound percentage, which means they have a lot more possessions than they normally would. So when they go into the tank shooting-wise, they have the extra possessions to make up for the difference. This is why they are ranked #9 in the nation even though they don’t have any real marquee stars on their roster. Jonathan Holton continues to pace the offense, as he put up 14 points and 11 boards in the Mountaineers’ 70-55 win over Kansas State.

The Mountaineers are a press-first team, and they should continue to wreak havoc against the Gators. They are in a three-way tie with Oklahoma and Baylor atop the Big 12. Their win over Kansas State (in road Big 12 games) was harder than they expected it to be, so look for them to iron out some of their wrinkles in a non-conference game this weekend.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

Remember, Bob Huggins turned Cincinnati into a basketball powerhouse, and had Kansas State playing out of their minds in his one season there. In West Virginia, he’s been able to build his own program from the ground up, and the way the Mountaineers play is reminiscent of those vaunted Bearcat teams that pressed the opposition into submission with physical, high-tempo basketball. The Mountaineers are a real threat to go deep into the NCAA field — perhaps even all the way, given the lack of dominant teams this year. I like West Virginia to leave Florida with a 78-72 win.