Miami vs FSU Expert NCAAB Odds Analysis

Posted by Aaron . on February 14, 2016 in

This Sunday, the Florida State Seminoles host the #12 Miami Hurricanes in ACC play, with tipoff set for 6:30pm Eastern time. The Seminoles (16-8) are in 10th place in the ACC, while the Hurricanes (19-4) are in third place. Miami is coming off a nail-biter of a win on Tuesday, as they overcame Pitt 65-63. The Seminoles lost at Syracuse on Thursday, 85-72. Let’s take a look at this matchup, analyze the game and make an NCAAB betting prediction.

Miami vs FSU Expert NCAAB Odds Analysis

When: Sunday, February 14, 2016 – 6:30 PM ET
Where: Donald L. Tucker Center, Tallahassee, Florida
TV: ESPNU
Stream: WatchESPN
Radio: 97.9 ESPN Tallahassee
Opening NCAAB Lines:  TBA

Why should you pick Florida State?

The Florida State-Miami rivalry is one of the best in the nation — and not just because of the football traditions. So all bets are off when these two teams tangle, and Florida State will have some frustrations to work out when Miami shows up on Sunday. Florida State is a definite bubble team when it comes to the NCAA tournament, and they need some resume-building wins if they want to find themselves in the field of 68, instead of the NIT. Their 6-6 ACC record is a problem, but bumping that to 7-6 with a win over ranked Miami would improve their chances significantly. I like them to take the momentum of the home court and the emotional frenzy that goes along with this storied matchup.

Why should you take the Hurricanes?

It’s normal to lose a little bit of urgency when you’re playing a team that’s way down the standings, and that’s exactly what happened with Miami against Pittsburgh on Tuesday. That’s why Hurricanes coach Jim Larranaga picked up a basketball in the locker room and challenged each of his players to try and wrestle the ball from him. The team lacked energy in the first half but showed some more in the second half, allowing them to eke out the win. They have now won six of seven in ACC play. However, it still looked like things were heading to overtime, as Miami had two good looks in the last six seconds of regulation and missed them both, only for Angel Rodriguez, the team’s 5-11 point guard, to charge toward the basket and slap the ball up and in (with his non-shooting hand, no less). Miami had charged out of the locker room with a 15-4 run, but Pitt refused to go away. Rodriguez used his hustle to create some luck — and a win for Miami. That is the sort of grit that has helped them keep the pace all season.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I like Florida State to play with purpose and passion after getting spanked by Syracuse, especially with the rival Hurricanes in their gym. I am picking the Seminoles to pull off an upset, 76-73.