How to Bet the Virginia Cavaliers vs Louisville Cardinals Match

Posted by Aaron . on January 29, 2016 in

The #11 Virginia Cavaliers head to Louisville this Saturday for a 1:00pm Eastern time tipoff against the #16 Cardinals. The Cavaliers are riding high after a huge comeback 72-71 win at Wake Forest, while Louisville comes in from a road win over Virginia Tech. Let’s take a look at this ACC showdown, and see where your NCAAB betting efforst should go.

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Why should you bet on the Cavaliers?

Virginia scored 18 points in the last 1:33 of the game, as well as nine points in the last 15 seconds — and a buzzer-beating three-pointer — to knock off Wake Forest. Wake Forest is not a ranked opponent, so it might be difficult to see why this is such a potential sea change of a game. However, the Cavaliers had not yet won an ACC road game this season, falling at Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech and Florida State. After Louisville, the Cavaliers must still go to Miami, Pittsburgh and Duke in February. It probably would have taken just one more road loss to knock them out of contention for a third straight ACC regular season championship. However, this comeback win may have been enough to drive their road doubts out of their minds. They had gone 1-for-13 from three-point range until those last 93 seconds, but then they made four in a row, including three in the last 14 seconds of the game. This could give the Cavaliers huge momentum heading to Louisville.

Why should you put your money on the Cardinals?

Damion Lee is the poster character for all that is great about Louisville basketball. The smooth arc of his shot — when it’s on — is a thing of beauty that hearkens back to the early days of the NBA, when fundamentals were a matter of course. He poured 29 points on the Hokies as the Cardinals won up in Virginia, and Lee’s hot shooting rubbed off on fellow Cardinal Trey Lewis, who went 4 for 7 from behind the arc and had 20 points in the second half. So even when the interior beast Chinanu Onuaku is a non-factor, the perimeter game can carry Louisville. The Cardinals (17-3, 6-1 ACC) have won four straight and look to knock off the highly ranked Cavaliers. Louisville has the #1 field goal percentage defense in the nation (36.4) and only allows 58.8 points per game (#2 in the nation). These are numbers that could easily put Virginia back into a road funk.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I like the Cardinals to defend their home court. The Cavaliers won’t find Louisville nearly as forgiving if they come out with their typical lack of energy on the road. I”m taking Louisville, 81-68.