Alabama vs Kentucky NCAA Hoops Pick

Posted by Aaron . on February 22, 2016 in

This Tuesday, the Alabama Crimson Tide head north to take on the #14 Kentucky Wildcats in SEC basketball action. The Wildcats (20-7) are in first place in the SEC but are coming off a 79-77 overtime loss at Texas A&M on Saturday. The Crimson Tide (16-10) are in eighth place in the SEC. In their last game, they lost at home, 67-61, to Mississippi State. Find out more about the college hoops online spread anytime soon.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kentucky Wildcats NCAA Hoops Pick

When: Tuesday, February 23, 2016, 7:00 PM ET
Where: Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY
TV: ESPN
Radio: Kentucky Wildcats Sports Network
Live Stream: ESP3
NCAAB Odds: TBA

 

 

Why should you bet on the Wildcats?

This game fits the prototype for my Angry Revenge Theory. An elite team loses in an upset and their next opponent is fairly far down the standings. The Wildcats’ loss to Texas A&M was particularly vexing because the Wildcats had a lead in overtime until Isaac Humphries picked up a technical foul near the end of overtime when he slammed the ball down to the court. The Aggies made their free throws and then got a putback just before the buzzer sounded to carry the overtime win. The Aggies dominated the boards against Kentucky — one of the Wildcats’ weaknesses this season — but Kentucky has shown the ability to come back from upsets with dominant performances in their next game. The Crimson Tide are a ripe target for this sort of revenge.

Why should you put your money on Alabama?

Take a look at the spread — if it’s more than 10 or 12, I would think about taking Alabama. After all, the Crimson Tide had won five straight SEC games and are still a part of the conversation as far as making the NCAA tournament goes. Against Mississippi State, the team did have less energy, but Shannon Hale and Retin Obasohan (22 points apiece) were their usual dominant selves. However, the fact that the rest of the team COMBINED for 17 points tells you how off the Alabama offense was. The Tide also missed 10 free throws during the game (11 for 21) and threw up bricks from beyond the arc (2 for 11). They could bounce back and keep things close against Kentucky — or even eke out a win.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

The Crimson Tide aren’t one of the SEC’s pushovers, so I think the Angry Revenge Theory will hold in that Kentucky will win, but it won’t be a rout. I’m picking Kentucky to win, 72-65.