Houston vs Dallas NBA Odds Analysis

Posted by Aaron . on April 5, 2016 in

On Wednesday night, the Houston Rockets visit the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action. The Rockets (38-39) are in fourth place in the Southwest Division but just beat Oklahoma City on Sunday, 118-110. The Mavericks (39-38) are in third place in the Southwest Division — and just a game ahead of Houston for the seventh seed in the West playoffs with five games to play — and just beat Minnesota on Sunday, 88-78. Find out the latest NBA betting lines here.

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Odds Analysis

When: Wednesday, April 6, 2016, 8:30pm ET
Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Radio: 103.3 FM ESPN Radio Dallas
Live Stream: NBA-Stream.com

Why should you bet on the Rockets?

Even though the Rockets are a game behind Dallas, they have won six of the last eight meetings between the teams. Houston has a higher offensive upside than the Mavericks, in the person of James Harden. Against Oklahoma City, Harden posted 41 points — including 15 points in the fourth quarter, as the Rockets erased a six-point fourth quarter deficit to take the win. The Mavericks do not have anyone on defense who can contain Harden, so if the Rockets play defense, they should win this game.

Why should you put your money on Dallas?

Dallas has played inconsistent defense all season long, which is why they are in the predicament they are in now, on the edge of the playoff race in the West. They had all hands on deck on defense on Sunday, holding Minnesota to just 78 points. They also had the hot hand from the outside, knocking down 14 shots from behind the arc to overcome an awful shooting night in two-point land. If the Mavericks can pry 18 turnovers from the Rockets like they did from Minnesota, they will win.

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Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I like the Mavericks to show defensive resolve at home and frustrate the Rocket attack, which means that Houston won’t play defense. I’m picking Dallas to win, 102-98.