Golden State vs Houston NBA Odds Analysis

Posted by Aaron . on April 14, 2016 in

The top-seeded Golden State Warriors face the eight-seed Houston Rockets in one of the Western Conference quarterfinal series in this year’s NBA playoffs. The series begins Saturday afternoon in Oakland, starting at 3:30pm Eastern time. The Warriors won all three of the meetings between the two teams this season, and they just broke the league record for wins in a season with 73, while the Rockets barely scraped their way into the postseason with an up-and-down campaign down the stretch. Find out the latest NBA betting lines here.

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets NBA Odds Analysis

Why should you bet on Golden State to win?

The Warriors only lost nine games all season, so it’s hard to imagine them losing four of seven to anyone, but especially these Rockets. Houston is fundamentally flawed because they have never committed to hard work on the defensive end. This is what led to Kevin McHale’s dismissal and is what likely will keep J.B. Bickerstaff from moving from the “interim” coach to the full-time leader of the team. We all know what the Warriors can do on offense: Stephen Curry won the MVP last year and then boosted his scoring average by six points a game this year (31.4). Golden State has only lost once in their last ten games to the Rockets.

Why should you put your money on the Rockets to win?

The Rockets beat some impressive competition this year, winning games in Boston and Toronto to end double-digit home win streaks for two of the East’s toughest contenders. When James Harden is on, there are no defenders in the NBA who can keep him from scoring. The Rockets made it all the way to the Western Conference finals last year, surprising most observers when they worked hard together and played defense. That team did lose to Golden State in five games last year in those conference finals, but they could take advantage of a Warrior team that might be looking past this round.

Expert Pick and Final Series Prediction

While the Rockets will try to keep up with the Warriors in a track-meet form of basketball, I don’t see the Rockets competing in any of these games. I’m predicting Golden State in four.