Golden State at Houston NBA Odds Analysis

Posted by Aaron . on April 20, 2016 in

On Thursday night, the Golden State Warriors head to the Lone Star State to take on the Houston Rockets in Game 3 of their Western Conference quarterfinal series. The Warriors won the first two games in Oakland, the second by a 115-106 score, made all the scarier by the fact that Stephen Curry was on the bench resting his injured ankle. Klay Thompson stepped into the gap, scouring 34 for the Warriors in their victory. Find out the latest NBA betting odds here.

Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets NBA Odds Analysis

When: Thursday, April 21, 2016, 9:30pm Eastern time
Where: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
TV: TNT
Radio: KBME Sportstalk 790 AM
Live Stream: NBA-Stream.com
NBA Odds: TBA

 

 

Why should you bet on Golden State?

Last year, the Houston Rockets made it to the Western Conference Finals because of their two-way play. James Harden was the centerpiece in a terrific offense — just like he is this year — but the team was also committed to solid defense. There is no better example of this change than a look at the Game 2 that the teams played last year in those conference finals. Golden State did win, but the score was 99-98, and the game featured an epic duel between Harden (38 points, 10 boards, 9 assists) and Curry (33 points). This year, the Rockets have stopped playing defense — which is why the Warriors were able to beat them fairly easily, even without Curry.

Why should you put your money on the Rockets?

Josh Smith was a pleasant surprise for the Rockets in Game 2, going 3 for 3 from downtown in the first period, and the sharpshooting of the Rockets early on kept them on pace. They showed, though, that they can’t match the white-hot shooting of the Warriors — but there might not be a team in the Association that can. Instead, the Rockets are going to have to play defense. They’ve done it this year — they shut down Toronto and Boston on the road, in games that ended long home winning streaks for both teams — and they need to find it again.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I like the Warriors to take the action to the Rockets once again, and while I don’t expect a blowout, I don’t think that Houston can play enough defense to pull out a win. I’m predicting a 110-104 Warriors win.