Cleveland at Golden State NBA Odds Analysis

Posted by Aaron . on May 31, 2016 in

It took longer than expected, but the record-setting Golden State Warriors finally punched in their ticket for the 2016 NBA Finals.

After a dominant 73-win regular season that included a sweep of OKC, It all seemed like the Warriors were poised for a cruise to the NBA Final. But the Oklahoma City Thunder had ideas, leading the series 3-1 after 4 games, which forced the Warriors to dig deep for three straight wins for an eventual 4-3 series win in the Western Conference Finals.

All that WCF drama is, however, in the past now. The most important task at the moment is figuring a way to beat the Cleveland Cavaliers, who rather eased through the Eastern Conference to finish as the ECF champs at the expense of the Toronto Raptors.

As we speak, the stage is set for a thrilling seven-game series between the Warriors and Cavaliers, who will be playing against each other in the NBA Final for the second successive year. Last year, the Warriors claimed the NBA Championship with a 4-1 series win over a short-handed Cavaliers team. With the Cavs coming into this year’s competition healthy and in good form, can the Warriors get the job done or will Cleveland have the final laugh this time round in the NBA betting lines? Join us as we take a preview at this series, with special focus on the Game 1 clash between the two teams set for Thursday, June 2 at the Oracle Arena.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors NBA Odds Analysis

When: Thursday, June 2 at ET
Where: Oracle Arena, Golden State



Why Bet on the Warriors

A lot has changed since the Cavs met the Warriors in the Final last year, especially in regards to Cleveland having Two its Big Three (Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love) returning to full health after missing last year’s Final. Even so, that didn’t stop Golden State from dominating the Cavs in their two-game sweep during the regular season. If the Warriors can continue to use the same formula that they used to go 2-0 over the Cavs this season, claiming a win in this game should be very possible. This will especially be possible if the trio of Klay Thompson, Stephen Curry and Draymond Green all deliver big minutes, along with support from the likes of Andre Iguadola and Anthony Bogut both in defending against Cleveland’s bigs and dominating the boards on both ends of the court. More importantly, Cleveland has often shown vulnerability when playing on the road, something that should offer the Warriors the impetus to use their home dominance to run down the Cavs.

Why Bet on the Cavs

The Strength in Numbers phrase is often associated with the Warriors, but looking at this year’s run to the NBA Final, the catchphrase feels more befitting for the Cavs, who’ve used their solid starting five and deep bench to overwhelm their way into this Final rematch against Golden State. So far in the playoffs, the Cavs have won 12 of their 14 matches, including an incredible 10 straight wins to start the postseason. The two losses recorded in the process both came against the Raptors in the ECF on the road, though if you closely watched those defeats, you’d almost feel that the Cavs ‘purposefully threw them away’ rather than lost them on merit. Key to this solid run to the playoffs is the fact that four-time MVP LeBron James has been an all-rounded beast in scoring, defending and assisting, Kyrie Irving has been splendid throughout the postseason (except for that excusable slump in Game 3 against Toronto) and Kevin Love has equally been big for the Cavs. Then, of course, there is the stellar support in players like J.R. Smith, Channing Frye, Mathew Dellavedova, which gives Cleveland enough talent to hang around with the Warriors on just about everything. Above all else, Cleveland’s defense has played much better than Golden State this season (both in the regular season and playoffs) while the Cavs have been ridiculously impressive in the offense since the start of the playoffs (especially in lighting it up from downtown). Against a Golden State team that hasn’t shot it that well in the NBA playoffs as they did in the regular season, I wouldn’t be shocked if the Cavs upset Golden State in this game, if not the entire series.

Expert NBA Predictions and Picks

The ROARacle arena is never the easiest of places to visit, and after getting shocked at home a number of times so far in the playoffs, the Warriors will want to take this game very seriously. But then again, the Cavs come here well-rested since playing Game 6 last Friday, as opposed to the Warriors who went all the way to Game 7 on Monday. This means Cleveland will most likely be fresher than Golden State, allowing for a possible upset as was done by OKC in Game 1 against Golden State in the WCF. And even without the extra-rest being considered, the Cavs have been more balanced in their play than Golden State so far in the playoffs. So, even though I have no doubt that the Warriors are capable of rising to the occasion as they’ve done all season, I feel more confident in trusting the Cavs to use their proven momentum for the win on Thursday.

Final Score Prediction: Cleveland 117, Golden State 109