UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson vs Teixeria Betting Preview

Posted by Aaron . on May 25, 2017 in

UFC Fight Night 109 is set for Sunday in Stockholm, Sweden, from the Ericsson Globe. The main card features the mighty Swede Alexander Gustafsson against another contender for the light-heavyweight title, Glover Teixeira. The preliminary bouts start at 10:00am Eastern time, and then the main card gets going three hours later. Let’s take a look at the fight card and then consider your strategy for the main event.

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UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson vs Teixeria Betting Preview

Preliminary Card (Fight Pass, 10:00am ET)

Jessin Ayari vs Darren Till
Marcin Held vs Damir Hadzovic
Preliminary Card (FS1, 11:00am ET)
Pedro Munhoz vs Damian Stasiak
Chris Camozzi vs Trevor Smith
Reza Madadi vs Joaquim Silva
Nico Musoke vs Bojan Velickovic

Main Card (FS1, 1:00pm ET)

Alexander Gustafsson vs Glover Teixeira
Misha Cirkunov vs Volkan Oezdemir
Ben Saunders vs Peter Sobotta
Abdul Razak Alhassan vs Omari Akhmedov
Oliver Enkamp vs Nordine Taleb
Jack Hermansson vs Alex Nicholson

Odds Straight Up: Gustafsson (8/15), Teixeira (3/1)
Odds by Verdict: Gustafsson 9/4 (points), 12/1 (submission)
Odds by Verdict: Teixeria 9/1 (submission), 4/1 (stoppage/DQ)

Why should you bet on Gustafsson (17-4)?

Obviously, Gustafsson will be fighting in front of his home crowd, which is a motivational edge. In his last fight, a win over Jan Blachowicz, he expected to come out and find a tomato can in his comeback bout. However, Blachowicz held his own with Gustafsson when the two were standing, matching strikes, so Gustafsson had to take Blachowicz to the floor to get the win with wrestling. He has more of a boxing style, bringing a variety of jabs with that left. He brings a left hook as well as a right straight and uppercut. His footwork is solid and agile, and he has enough of a reach to keep most opponents from getting him to the ground. When he does go down, he stops takedowns 86 percent of the time.

Why should you bet on Teixeira (26-5)?

Don’t count out the 37-year- old Teixeira. Even though Jared Cannonier made him look vulnerable when the two went toe to toe, outpunching Teixeira, Cannonier was weak on the ground, and that’s how Teixeira got the win. He does have a cross counter-left hook combo that can still rock an opponent, but he showed less head movement against Cannonier, so he may rely more on the wrestling game. He still has a solid snatch single-leg move, and if he can catch Gustafsson napping, he will throw on a rear-naked choke or a guillotine. But can he get close enough to Gustafsson to take him down without having to take too much punishment?

Gustafsson vs Teixeira UFC Fight Night Pick

Gustafsson. I see Teixeira simply having to take too many hard punches in his quest to get the Swede to the ground, and I see Gustafsson prevailing either on points or on a TKO.