UFC 258: Usman vs Burns Betting Analysis

Posted by Derrick Harper on February 12, 2021 in

UFC 258 is aiming for your attention, as they have one heck of a main event coming for your betting experience. For this upcoming fight, Kamaru Usman and Gilbert Burns will square off in the headliner for the chance at the welterweight belt currently held by Usman. Let’s take a closer look at both fighters so you can bet against their UFC odds.

UFC 258: Usman vs Burns Preview

  • Date: Saturday, February 13, 9:00 PM
  • Location: UFC Apex
  • Watch on: PPV

Main Event Breakdown

Kamaru Usman (17-1-0)

Usman has been on a tear racking up a 16 fight professional winning streak, two title defenses. This will mark his third straight attempt at defending his title.

Taking a look into his resume over the years, it reveals seven wins by knockout, one by submission, and nine by decision. Even with all of the dominance, he only has three first round knockout finishes.

“The Nigerian Nightmare” strikes with an accuracy at 53 percent and has a grappling accuracy at 47 percent. He typically delivers 4.50 significant strikes each minute while taking on 2.23.

Usman is notorious for a very strong 100 percent takedown defense and defends against significant strikes with a defense of 58 percent. He also has been able to average 3.38 takedowns and 0.10 submissions in each 15 minutes.

Gilbert Burns (19-3-0)

Burns is not far behind Usman in terms of welterweight rankings. He is the second best welterweight fighter and only one thing on his mind; to become champion. His six fight winning streak has earned him a solid shot at becoming the next champ.

Looking at his recent track record, he has six wins by knockout, eight by submission, and five by decision. He has also put together 10 first round stoppages by both submission and knockout.

“Durinho” strikes with an accuracy at 46 percent and has a grappling accuracy at 37 percent. He delivers about 3.15 significant strikes a minute and takes on 2.74.

Burns defends against takedowns with a defense at 50 percent and defends against significant strikes with a defense at 56 percent. He also has been able to average 2.21 takedowns and 0.70 submissions in each 15 minutes.

Odds For Main Event

The market is showing Usman to defend his title again, coming in as an increasing favorite. MyBookie has the moneyline odds for this one coming in at:

*odds are subject to changes

Potential Winning Pick

There is no doubt that Usman could have one the toughest fights he has ever encountered in the UFC. Burns is an excellent fighter and former training partner with Usman.

Usman needs to remain in control of this fight and to not let Burns dictate the pace. Usman also has been great at limiting great grapplers from doing what they do best.

With a stout takedown defense, providing constant pressure, and a five inch reach advantage, look for Usman to have fun with this matchup. He will not completely dominate or humiliate Burns, but fun in the sense of a good fight to look back on in his resume.

Pick: Usman wins