UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 Betting Analysis

Posted by Derrick Harper on January 22, 2021 in

Headlining soon at UFC 257, you can witness Conor McGregor as he steps out of retirement once again to face Dustin Poirier in a much anticipated rematch. These two lightweights have transformed tremendously since their first encounter, so this fight will establish these two at this point in their careers. Let’s take a closer look at both fighters so you can set down your bets against their UFC odds.

UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 Preview

  • Date: Sat, Jan 23, 9:00 PM
  • Venue: Etihad Arena
  • Watch on: PPV

Main Event Breakdown

Conor McGregor (22-4-0)

McGregor has flirted with retirement a handful of times now but has decided to come out once again. He still maintains his fourth best fighter in the lightweight division ranking. Before his last “retirement”, he took care of Donald Cerrone by a first round TKO about a year ago.

Looking into his fighting profile, it reveals that he has 19 wins by knockout, one by submission, and two by decision. All but five of his 19 knockouts have resulted in first round finishes.

“Notorious” strikes with an accuracy at 49 percent and has a grappling accuracy at 62 percent. He delivers 5.43 significant strikes a minute and takes on 4.40.

McGregor defends well against takedowns around 70 percent and defends against significant strikes at 55 percent. He does not spend a lot of time on the ground, as he averages only 0.75 takedowns each 15 minutes.

Dustin Poirier (26-6-0)

Poirier has moved up quite a bit since the last time these two met in 2014. He currently ranks as the second best fighter out of the lightweight division.

Looking into his fighting profile, it shows him having 12 wins by knockout, seven by submission, and seven by decision. Out of his 26 victories there were 12 of those wins that were first round finishes, combining knockouts and submissions.

“The Diamond” strikes with an accuracy of 50 percent and has a grappling accuracy at 35 percent. He delivers 5.57 significant strikes a minute and takes on slightly less at 4.18.

Poirier defends against takedowns at 60 percent and defends against significant strikes with an average defense at 54 percent. His ground game is great, but only averages 1.46 takedowns and 1.30 submissions each 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

MyBookie has the moneyline currently sitting at::

*odds are subject to changes

Potential Winning Pick

The market is viewing McGregor’s return to be a heavy favorite to win. This is interesting if you take into account how both of these fighters have changed for the better along the years.

Poirier has put up one of the best stretches in the lightweight division since their last meeting. Recently, he has won five of his last six fights against some of the best in the division and only losing to Khabib Nurmagomedov.

McGregor has dealt with retirement, legal issues, and even some boxing against Floyd Mayweather. Still, his recent bout against Cerrone showed a very fierce McGregor that proved to have all his ducks in a row.

Picks: McGregor wins via TKO