UFC 256: Figueiredo Vs Moreno Betting Analysis

Posted by Derrick Harper on December 11, 2020 in

One of MMA’s most exciting events of the year is UFC 256. This betting experience will help finish 2020 with a bang. Closing out the year strong will feature a title fight between Deiveson Figueiredo and the challenger Brandon Moreno. Let’s take a closer look at the main bout of the night, along with their UFC odds.

UFC 256: Figueiredo Vs Moreno Preview

  • Date: Saturday, December 12
  • Location: UFC Apex
  • Watch on: PPV

Main Event Breakdown

Deiveson “Deus Da Guerra” Figueiredo (20-1-0)

Figueiredo has accomplished nearly everything there is within the flyweight division. He is currently the champion, boasting a five fight winning streak.

Looking at what he has accomplished so far, his resume consists of nine wins by knockout, eight by submission, and three by decision. Not only that, but he has 11 first round finishes with a mix of those knockouts and submissions.

He strikes accurately at 55 percent and has done well grappling with an accuracy at 50 percent. He typically lands 2.79 significant strikes a minute and takes on about 2.82.

On defense, Figueiredo typically defends against takedowns at 63 percent and has a significant strike defense a little lower at 52 percent. On the ground, he averages roughly 1.68 takedowns and 3.00 submissions each 15 minutes.

Brandon Moreno (18-5-1)

They do not call him “The Baby Assassin” for no reason. Moreno ranks first in the flyweight division, behind the champ, and he tallies four straight victories so far.

Looking at what he has to offer in this fight, he has three victories by knockout, 10 by submission, and five by decision. Eight of those combined knockouts and submissions are first round finishes too.

Even with the success he has had, offensively, he only strikes with an accuracy at 35 percent and has a grappling accuracy nearing 44 percent. He delivers about 3.01 significant strikes and absorbs 2.96 in each minute.

He shows a better defense here, with a defense against takedowns around 69 percent and against significant strikes at 63 percent. On the ground he averages 1.93 takedowns and 0.80 submissions each 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

The market is liking the champ here. MyBookie has the odds currently placed at:

*odds are subject to changes

Winner of This Event

Figueiredo no doubt is shaping up to be the fighter of the year. With several title defenses, near perfect execution, and a must watch fighter he definitely deserves praise.

With Moreno, you have an interesting candidate to knock off Figueiredo. He has improved his striking ability and is solid defensively.

However, Moreno will need to tire out Figueiredo or outstrike him. Both of those situations are unlikely but still possible. He will need a performance of the year type of fight to win this, which is not out of his reach.

Overall, Figueiredo has had an impressive year and looks to continue his successful streak heading into 2021. He has the ability to finish this fight in any direction he wants, but it could possibly be by submission.

Figueiredo wins via submission, at -330