UFC 255: Figueiredo Vs. Perez Betting Analysis

Posted by Derrick Harper on November 20, 2020 in

UFC 255 has plenty of battles worth your time. With the second title fight of the night, and the fight headlining the event, you can catch two flyweights as Deiveson Figueiredo will attempt to defend his title against Alex Perez. Let’s take a closer look at the main bout of the night so you can make your bets against their UFC odds.

UFC 255: Figueiredo Vs. Perez Preview

  • Date: Saturday, Nov. 21, 9 PM
  • Venue: UFC Apex
  • Watch on: ESPN+

Main Event Breakdown

Deiveson “Deus Da Guerra” Figueiredo (19-1-0), the current flyweight champion, has been successful lately with a four-fight winning streak. He faced Joseph Benavidez two times in a row and was able to win both times.

Looking at his resume, you will see that he has nine wins by knockout, seven by submission, and three by decision. He has also compiled 10 first-round finishes with knockouts and submissions.

He strikes with an accuracy of 55% and has been able to grapple at an accuracy of 50%. He delivers 2.80 significant strikes a minute while also taking on 2.81. He shows to be steady here, without getting too crazy.

Figueiredo defends against takedowns at 61% and has been able to defend against significant strikes at 51%. Per 15 minutes, he also averages 1.71 takedowns and 2.90 submissions.

Alex Perez (24-5-0) finds himself in a great position with a three-fight winning streak and currently being ranked as the fourth-best fighter in the division. In that streak, he was able to knock out Jussier Formiga, who is the only fighter to hand Figueiredo a loss in 2019.

Looking at his resume, it reveals that Perez has five wins by knockout, seven by submission, and 12 by decision. He knows how to end fights early, too, with 11 first-round finishes.

He strikes with an accuracy of 47% and is not too bad at grappling either, with an accuracy of 50%. He delivers 4.68 significant strikes each minute and only absorbs 3.10. This is actually much better than what Figueiredo typically puts up.

Perez has been able to defend against takedowns at 87% and defends against significant strikes at 61%. Per 15 minutes, he also has averages of 3.03 takedowns and 1.40 submissions.

Odds For This Event

MyBookie has the odds for the Main Event currently sitting at:

  • Figueiredo -300
  • Perez +240

* odds are subject to change

Potential Winning Pick

Perez has a shot here if he can control the fight with grappling and making the fight last into the later rounds. With his wrestling background, he has shown in a lot of fights that it has benefited him.

Figueiredo has a knack for his power punching, so Perez will most likely want to tire Figueiredo out with grappling early so he can keep this bout going later.

However, Figueiredo will still be tough to ignore here since he is arguably faster, more explosive, and has a better striking accuracy to land these powerful strikes. He has also not shied away from the ground game with almost as many submission victories as he does knockouts.

Prediction: Figueiredo wins via TKO