UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway Main Event Betting Odds Preview

Posted by Ted Merrick on May 30, 2017 in

After a so-so year up to this point in MMA, UFC 211 finally lived up to the hype. Next comes UFC 212, set for Saturday down in Rio de Janeiro. The main card features Jose Aldo (26-2) and Max Holloway (17-3) in the featherweight division. Aldo has held the featherweight title since UFC took it away from Conor McGregor; despite the fact that McGregor has beaten both of these fighters, this is still likely to be the most exciting MMA tilt this year so far. Without further a do, here’s a look at the main event of UFC 212 with the latest MMA odds.

UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway Main Event Betting Odds Preview

Main Card (PPV)

Jose Aldo vs Max Holloway
Claudia Gadehla vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Vitor Belfort vs Nate Marquardt
Paulo Borrachinha vs Oluwale Bamgbose
Erick Silva vs Yancy Medeiros

Preliminary Card (FS1)

Raphael Assuncao vs Marlon Moraes
Antonio Carlos Jr. vs Eric Spicely
Johnny Eduardo vs Matthew Lopez
Iuri Alcantara vs Brian Kelleher

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Leonardo Santos vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Viviane Pereira vs Jamie Moyle
Luan Chagas vs Jim Wallhead
Marco Beltran vs Deiveson Alcantara

Aldo (-138) vs Holloway (+110)

The main event — set to take place at 7:00pm Eastern time, features a pair of quality strikers. Some consider Aldo to be one of the greatest MMA fighters of all time. No one defends against the takedown better than he does, and his striking approach maximizes possible rewards while hedging risk, as he waits for openings to show up in his opponent’s defense and then unleashed his attack. This approach has brought him wins against such fighters as Frankie Edgar, Chan- Sung Jung, Chad Mendes and Urijah Faber over the last eight years.

But what about Holloway? He did lose three of his first six fights in UFC and had to toil in the lowest reaches of his division. However, he started winning, progressing from tomato cans to former champs a little bit past their prime, and now he rides a 10-bout winning streak into this matchup. Holloway brings deception to his game, luring opponents into mistakes in much the same way that Aldo does. So we will see two different strikers looking to pull the other into mistakes. Holloway lands almost twice as many significant strikes per minute (5.67 vs 3.28) — but Aldo has a slightly longer reach with his punches.

Neither fighter is skilled in the takedown, so this could easily turn into a street brawl where the two simply go back and forth with punches for five rounds. I see Aldo wearing Holloway down with greater striking power and a regimen of leg kicks. I’m predicting an Aldo win by unanimous decision.