UFC 198 Main Card: Werdum vs. Miocic Betting Preview

Posted by Daniel Saenz on May 10, 2016 in

Heavyweight champion Fabricio Werdum will headline a stacked UFC 198 card against Stipe Miocic this coming Saturday, as both fighters seek to square it out in the pay-per-view (PPV) main event of the evening. As a well-known Brazil-born fighter, Werdum will be hot local favorite and a trendy pick in the MMA odds to defend his heavyweight belt, but will he be up to the task against the surging 265-pound hitter Miocic? Let’s take a look at the keys for victory in this clash, including free UFC betting picks for your consideration.

UFC 198 Main Card: Werdum vs. Miocic Betting Preview

What: Werdum vs. Miocic UFC 198 Betting Odds Preview and Analysis
When: Saturday, May 14, 10:00 p.m. EST
Where: Arena da Baixada in Curitiba, Parana, Brazil.
TV: PPV
MMA Odds: Werdum -160; Miocic +140; Over/Under: 2.5

Why Bet on Werdum (20-5-1 MMA, 8-2 UFC)

As the No. 1 fighter in the USA TODAY Sports/MMAjunkie MMA heavyweight rankings, and also the No. 7 pound-for-pound fighter, Werdum has a lot of motivation in his favor coming into this fight. The fact that he’s a proven Jiu Jitsu soldier who’s gotten better on his feet since entering the UFC makes him very lethal and tough to beat. Added to the fact that he promises to surround himself with 45,000 fans in his home country, Miocic will definitely have enough reasons to bring his A-game here.

That being said, Werdum will need not to take this fight for granted or lightly, as Miocic is a solid knockout artist with a strong aerial game. To beat the Strongstyle Team member, the Brazilian will thus need to try and keep the game on ground as much as possible, capitalizing on his strong takedown and excellent submission skills.

Why Bet on Miocic (14-2 MMA, 8-2 UFC)

Over the past year, Miocic—ranked No. 4 in the latest heavyweight rankings—has established himself as arguably the most electric fighter in this division, destroying and dispatching everyone thrown at him. Most notable of his recent wins include the stoppage victory over fierce K-1 veteran Mark Hunt and another demolishing KO over former champion Andrei Arlovski. Following his win over the Belarusian in January, and thanks in part to injury of heavyweight title contender Cain Velasquez, the Ohio fighter earned a chance a title shot against Werdum; one which he vowed to take very seriously.

“I wanna keep going and don’t stop, I train my ass off. I wanna win the belt, I wanna keep having the belt and defending it. This is what it’s all about, this is what I wanna do, what I’m gonna do,” said Miocic. “I’m gonna give him the roughest fight, hardest fight he’s ever got. That’s the way I do it. I fight my style, not anyone else’s style, and I’m gonna walk out there with the belt around my waist.” Given his power-punching and hard-kicking skills, along with an improving ground game, the firefighter will surely be a tough out in this clash.

My Expert MMA Picks and Predictions

Having won his last two fights, Miocic—a highly athletic wrestler and boxer—comes with solid momentum for a possible upset in this fight. It is, however, hard to see the all-rounded Werdum—who is streaking on six straight wins dating back to 2012 and with home advantage—losing this fight. I don’t expect Miocic to lose in Round 1, but Werdum should be able to grind out the fight for an eventual win in Round 2 or 3, probably via submission.

MMA Winning Pick: Werdum (-160).