UFC Fight Night “Cowboys Fight” Oliveira vs Cerrone Overview

Posted by Aaron . on February 17, 2016 in

This Sunday, UFC Fight Night 83 online betting comes from Pittsburgh, featuring Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone and Alex “Cowboy” Oliviera as the FS1 Main Card. Let’s take a look at some of the numbers going into this matchup.

UFC Fight Night “Cowboys Fight” Oliveira vs Cerrone Overview

Date: Sunday, February 21st, 2016
Time: 9 PM EST
Venue: Consol Energy Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Opening Line: D. CERRONE -285, A. OLIVEIRA +245

 

 

Cerrone is 28-6-0 with 1 no-contest. He lands 3.99 significant strikes per minute and has a 54% submission rate. His arm reach is 73 inches, while his leg reach is 40. He has 47.06% accuracy, and his defense percentage is 55.25. He has a 42.37% takedown accuracy, and he has defended 69.15% of the takedowns attempted on him.

Oliviera has about half as many fights, with a record of 13-2-1 with 1 no-contest. His arm reach (76) and leg reach (40) are longer than Cerrone’s. However, he only lands about half as many (1.98) significant strikes per minute. His defense rating (49.7%) is slightly lower, and his accuracy (36.8%) is significantly lower. His takedown accuracy (32%) is lower as well.

Why should you take Cerrone?

Cerrone comes into this fight having lost a lightweight title bout to Rafael dos Anjos back in December. This will be his first bout at the 170-pound class in his UFC career. Oliviera is a rising welterweight, so the two of them will be facing each other for the first time. Cerrone has long been one of the more demonstrative showmen in UFC, and he likely wants to leave a lasting impression with his first bout in the new class. Oliviera has won three bouts in a row, including a couple of stoppage wins that were eye-popping.

Why should you take Oliviera?

Cerrone had been set to take on Tim Means in the welterweight division, but Means failed an out-of-competition drug test with USADA and was pulled from the card. Those are two fighters who let it all hang out, both in their fighting and in their talking. With Cerrone and Oliviera set to square off, the UFC has a chance to bill this as the quest to find the “real” cowboy. The fact that dos Anjos socked Cerrone so hard that the fight went to stoppage in his last fight has many observers wondering whether that chin will hold up under the punishment that Oliviera is likely to bring.

Expert Pick and Final Prediction

Most experts are picking Cerrone to advance through this bout fairly easily. Cerrone had already knocked off Eddie Alvarez, Myles Jury, Benson Henderson and Edson Barboza, so he has a fairly good shot. His opponents over the past several years have been tougher than Oliviera, and he has picked up a number of marquee victories. That experience in big fights should pay dividends for Cerrone, as Oliviera is still likely to be finding his way. Oliviera has never taken on anyone at Cerrone’s level, and there are several observers predicting a stoppage win for Cerrone as early as the fight’s first 10 minutes.