MMA Betting: Early UFC 259 Analysis

Posted by Derrick Harper on February 25, 2021 in

UFC 259 has an extraordinary lineup waiting for you. There will be three title fights on the night, but headlined by one main event. For this fight, you will be able to see a standout battle between light heavyweights Jan Blachowicz and Israel Adesanya. Let’s take a closer look at both fighters for the main bout so you can bet against their UFC odds.

Really Early UFC 259 Betting Odds

Main Event

  • Date: Sat, Mar 6
  • Venue: UFC Apex
  • Watch on: PPV

Jan Blachowicz (27-8-0)

Blachowicz is currently the light heavyweight champion with a current win streak of four consecutive fights. His last battle was a TKO win against Dominick Reyes back in September of 2020.

Looking at what his resume provides, it shows that he has eight wins by knockout, nine by submission, and 10 by decision. He also has about eight first round finishes with a mix of knockouts and submissions.

He strikes with an accuracy at 48 percent and has a grappling accuracy at 52 percent. He delivers 3.49 significant strikes a minute and takes on 2.74. This will be something to watch here, as those numbers are a good example for a quality striker.

Blachowicz defends against takedowns at 65 percent and defends against significant strikes at 54 percent. He also has been able to average 1.10 takedowns and 0.20 submissions in each fight.

Israel Adesanya (20-0-0)

Adesanya is the current middleweight champion and looking to step up in weight class to take hold of another belt. He is currently undefeated and had a recent TKO victory against Paulo Costa back in September of 2020.

Looking into what he has accomplished, he has 15 wins by knockout and five by decision. He has also accumulated seven first round knockout finishes.

“The Last Stylebender” strikes with an accuracy at 50 percent but does not have anything yet for a grappling accuracy. He delivers 4.10 significant strikes each minute and only takes on 2.33, which is another great example of a striker.

Adesanya defends against takedowns at 86 percent and defends against significant strikes at 65 percent. He does not yet have averages for takedowns or submissions in his fights.

Odds For This Event

Looking at what the market has provided, MyBookie has the moneyline currently set at:

*odds are subject to changes

Betting Suggestion

You could not ask for a more aggressive and exciting matchup with these two fighters. They each have accomplished a lot within their respective divisions and have what it takes to provide an excellent striking matchup.

Size will not play a huge factor in this matchup. The height and reach goes to Adesanya while the weight goes to Blachowicz.

However, Blachowicz arguably has the better power behind his punches. Adesanya is a very technical striker that still has a lot of power.

For this matchup, power might not be much of an issue. Instead, it will come down to how well Adesanya delivers those strikes and if he can stay aggressive. Look for Adesanya to continue his perfect streak and to claim another belt.

Pick: Adesanya wins via TKO, at -250