Toronto vs Boston MLB Odds Analysis

Posted by Aaron . on June 3, 2016 in

The Boston Red Sox face the Toronto Blue Jays to town on Saturday in a matinee at Fenway Park. The Red Sox (32-22) are in first place in the American League East, but despite the fact that they scored 16 runs in their last two games against the Baltimore Orioles, they lost both of them — because they gave up a combined 25 runs. The Blue Jays (29-26) are in third place in the division, 3 ½ games behind the Red Sox, but they are waking up after a bit of a slow start. They won their last two games over the Yankees by a combined 11-1. Find the latest MLB betting odds here.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox MLB Odds Analysis

When: Saturday, June 4, 2016, 4:05pm Eastern time
Where: Fenway Park, Boston
Radio: WEEI 93.7 FM Boston
Live Stream:
Pitching Matchup: Marcus Stroman (5-1, 4.46 ERA) (TOR) vs Steven Wright (5-4, 2.45 ERA) (BOS)



Why should you bet on Toronto?

The Blue Jays come into town on a high note, having swept New York at Yankee Stadium for the first time since September 2000, and on a streak in which they have taken 10 of 13 after dropping five in a row. They face a Boston team that is showing some major problems on the pitching end. While Wright’s ERA is decent (he has been a victim of poor run support, a bit ironic on a team averaging 5.97 runs per game through the first quarter of the season), the bullpen has also been ridiculous for Boston.

Why should you put your money on the Red Sox?

Normally, I’d put the fact that the Blue Jays are starting Marcus Stroman as a reason to bet for Toronto, but despite that gaudy 5-1 record, he has permitted seven runs in two of his last three starts, allowing 13 and 11 hits, respectively — and those hits weren’t soft flares just beyond the reach of the infielders. Five of the current Red Sox starters are hitting .400 or better against Stroman in their careers, a sign that the Red Sox should be able to rake on Saturday.

Expert Pick and Final Prediction

John Gibbons does a lot of talking as the manager of the Toronto Blue Jays, but the Red Sox have the better offense right now, and things look even in the pitching for this game. I’m predicting a 6-4 Boston win.