Top MLB SU Picks for the Weekend

Posted by Aaron . on April 29, 2016 in

Into MLB betting? This weekend has some tasty series opening up, with some real divisional rivalries and some leaders teeing off against one another. We have Yankees-Red Sox, Dodgers-Padres, Rangers-Angels, and Nationals-Cardinals, among others. Let’s take a look at some of the best straight up pick ideas for you.

Top MLB SU Picks for the Weekend

 

 

Before you get started — before you place a bet, make sure to check the injury reports and the updated projected pitching matchups. Sometimes a rainout pushes a starter back a day, and sometimes managers will put in a spot starter at the last minute. You don’t want to put big money down on, say, a Dallas Keuchel start when things have shuffled and it’s going to be someone like Scott Feldman.

Friday: Washington at St. Louis

What’s the pitching matchup? Well, it’s Steven Strasburg (3-0, 2.17 ERA in four starts) against Mike Leake (0-2, 5.64 ERA in our starts). Leake has only gotten through the sixth inning one time. He’s allowed at least three runs every time out. The Nats’ Stephen Drew is batting .667 against him with 3 RBI in six at-bats. Bryce Harper, Danny Espinosa, Daniel Murphy, Jayson Werth and Ryan Zimmerman have all homered off him. Strasburg has yielded a .500 average and a home run to Matt Adams, and a .444 average to Matt Holliday, but the rest of the Cardinals lineup has struggled against him. I’d definitely choose the Nats to win this one straight up.

Saturday: Los Angeles Angels at Texas

This game features Derek Holland (2-1, 3.13 ERA) against Matt Shoemaker (1-3, 6.87 ERA) in the starting pitching matchup. Holland has already seen the Angels once this year, permitting three runs in five innings in a no-decision. Shoemaker has been solid on the road, permitting just two runs in 12 innings at Oakland and Chicago. The White Sox lineup had been pretty streaky until last weekend, though, and Oakland’s offense has been icy for most of the year so far. Adrian Beltre, Delino DeShields, Prince Fielder and Mitch Moreland are all hitting .385 or better against Sheomaker in their career. The only Angels batting above .333 against Derek Holland are the light-hitting Andrelton Simmons and Geovany Soto. I’m going to take the Rangers straight up in this one.

Sunday: Houston at Oakland

The Astros send Doug Fister (1-3, 5.56 ERA) to the mound opposite the A’s Rich Hill (3-2, 2.42 ERA). Hill has struck out 37 batters in 26 innings this year. His last start featured seven scoreless innings against the Detroit Tigers. He has permitted no more than three earned runs in any of his starts. Fister, on the other hand, got a win in the first start of the year against Milwaukee but then has turned south a bit, going 0-3 with a 5.60 ERA in those three games, permitting 18 hits in 17 innings. His last start on Monday at Seattle featured a career worst seven walks. I’m liking the A’s straight up in this one.