Top MLB Betting Predictions of the Week

Posted by Aaron . on May 23, 2016 in

As we move through the first quarter of the MLB season, we’re learning some things about the 30 franchises. The Cubs are still off to their best start since the 1907 season — which resulted in a World Series title for that star-crossed team. The Phillies would be in the playoffs if the season ended today, which is a shock given their dreadful 2015 season. The American League West doesn’t seem to have a team that wants to win it yet. The Giants didn’t overpay for Johnny Cueto, but they appear to have overpaid for Jeff Samardzija. MLB betting predictions are changing shape as each week passes by.

So what are your best bets for this week? Let’s take a look at some of the games that could make you some money.

Top MLB Betting Predictions of the Week

 

 

Monday, May 23: Los Angeles Angels at Texas

Pitching Matchup: Nick Tropeano (2-2, 3.30 ERA) (LA) vs Derek Holland (3-3, 5.63 ERA) (TEX)

Although the Rangers just polished off the Houston Astros with a three-game road sweep over the weekend, this is a red light on their schedule. You might think that Derek Holland’s 2.45 ERA in his last two starts against the Angels gives the Rangers an edge, but he has struggled to an unsightly 5.63 ERA so far in 2016 (4.05 at home). Mike Trout has slammed three home runs in 28 at-bats against Holland in his career. In the other dugout, Nick Tropeano is starting the game, and he has permitted three or fewer runs in all except one start so far this season. Not many Rangers have more than two or three at-bats against Tropeano, a situation that tends to favor the pitcher. So in this game I would be more inclined to take the Angels.

Tuesday, May 24: Philadelphia at Detroit

Pitching Matchup: Jeremy Hellickson (4-2, 3.99 ERA) (PHI) vs Justin Verlander (3-4, 4.58 ERA) (DET)

Verlander’s April has not been sharp at all, but historically he has not started seasons well — but then started to dominate batters in May. He has had three straight solid starts after adjusting his arm slot, and in his last start, against the Twins, he fanned 10 batters in 7 innings. This is an interleague game, which means that most of the Phillies have never faced Verlander. The only one with significant exposure is David Lough, but he has not hit him well (.167, 18 AB). It’s true that Jeremy Hellickson has two solid starts in a row under his belt for the Phillies, blending a convincing change with a plus fastball. However, Justin Upton (.385, 2 HR, 4 RBI) and Miguel Cabrera (.500,1 HR) and Jarrod Saltalamacchia (.292, 3 HR, 4 RBI) all have enjoyed Hellickson’s pitching in the past.

As the week goes on, look back to our site for more betting predictions on Major League Baseball action. Sometimes bettors who haven’t paid attention to the pitching matchup end up betting on the likely favorite — and losing money. So check back for our expert predictions before you lock in your bets!