Milwaukee vs Chicago MLB Odds Analysis

Posted by Aaron . on April 27, 2016 in

On Thursday afternoon, the Brewers will be at Wrigley Field to wrap up their three-game set with the Cubs. Chicago (15-5) is in first place in the National League Central and beat the Brew Crew in the series opener, 4-3, on Tuesday. The teams meet again Wednesday night before the finale on Thursday. The Brewers (8-12) sit in the NL Central basement, already seven games behind the division leaders. The Brewers did beat the Phillies, 8-5, on Sunday before opening the series in Chicago. Find out the latest MLB odds here.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs MLB Odds Analysis

When: Thursday, April 28, 2016, 2:20pm Eastern time
Where: Wrigley Field, Chicago
TV: CSCh, FSWI
Radio: 670 AM The Score Chicago
Live Stream: MLB.tv
MLB Odds: TBA
Pitching Matchup: Zach Davies (0-2, 9.72 ERA) (MIL) vs Jon Lester (2-1, 1.98 ERA) (CHC)

 

 

Why should you bet on Milwaukee?

I have to be honest here — I don’t think I’d take the Brewers in this one at all. They send Zach Davies to the mound for this start, and while he was pretty decent last year (3.71 ERA in six starts) he has been dreadful in his two starts in the place of Matt Garza, who has been injured. He did throw six scoreless frames at Wrigley in his only start against the Cubs in 2015, but he’s not headed that way this year. The Brewers have also struggled mightily on offense, struggling to put together meaningful rallies — which is why they are so far behind the streaking Cubs so far this season.

Why should you put your money on the Cubs?

The Cubs have Jon Lester on the mound, and his season has been sparkling so far. He has 23 strikeouts in his first four starts — and all of them have qualified as quality starts. The Brewers’ Ryan Braun does have a .385 average against Lester in his career in 13 at-bats, but no one in the rest of the Milwaukee lineup has done much of anything against the lefty. The last time the Cubs won at least 15 of their first 20 was way back in the 1907 season — which was the last time these Cubs won a World Series.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

With this pitching matchup and the heat the Cubs offense has shown so far this season, I’m predicting a 7-2 Chicago rout.