Detroit vs Cleveland MLB Odds Analysis

Posted by Aaron . on May 3, 2016 in

On Tuesday night, the Detroit Tigers visit the Cleveland Indians to open a three-game set. The Tigers are looking to avenge a three-game sweep at the Indians’ hands a couple of weekends ago. Cleveland (10-12) are in fourth place in the American League Central and followed up that sweep over Detroit by losing five of six, including a three-game sweep in Philadelphia over the weekend. Detroit (14-10) is in second place in the AL Central and followed up that same sweep by winning six of seven, including a sweep in Minnesota over the weekend. Find the latest MLB odds here.

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Indians MLB Odds Analysis

When: Tuesday, May 3, 2016, 6:10pm Eastern time
Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland
TV: STOh, FSDT
Radio: WTAM 1100 AM Cleveland
Live Stream: MLB.tv
MLB Odds: TBA
Pitching Matchup: Justin Verlander (2-2, 5.46 ERA) (DET) vs Josh Tomlin (3-0, 3.18 ERA) (CLE)

 

 

Why should you bet on Detroit?

Any time the great Justin Verlander is on the hill for the Tigers, you have to think about putting your money down on them to win. He has 31 strikeouts in 29 â” innings, so his swing-and-miss stuff is working. That 5.46 ERA is a little high, but he has been able to get a lot of crucial outs when he needed them. The hot bat of third baseman Nick Castellanos, currently the AL leader in batting average, has been a major factor as well. On Sunday, he belted a three-run Jimmy Jack to tie the score at five runs apiece in the sixth inning, and he went 6 for 12 in that weekend series. He has hit safely in 15 of the last 17 games, hitting .393 during that time.

Why should you put your money on the Indians?

The Indians have gone in a bit of a funk lately because of their offense. On Sunday, that latest victim was Danny Salazar, who took a loss against the Phillies despite just giving up two runs on three hits (and striking out eight) in his seven innings. They have played six consecutive one-run games, losing all of them lately. The Tribe has terrific pitching, and one of their best arms will be on the hill Tuesday in Josh Tomlin. He has kept all of the Tiger batters under .300 except Ian Kinsler and Jarrod Saltalamacchia, and he has a chance to shut down the Tigers’ offense. If the Tribe can score, then they have a real shot here.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

You can’t keep losing one-run games, but you also can’t bet on the law of averages. I like Verlander’s arm and the Tigers’ chances on offense. I’m predicting a 5-3 Detroit win.