Cleveland vs Cincinnati MLB Odds Analysis

Posted by Aaron . on May 18, 2016 in

On Thursday night, a rare interstate matchup between the Cleveland Indians and the Cincinnati Reds wraps up. The first two games took place in Cleveland before the series shifted to Cincinnati for the last two, and the Tribe won both of the games in Cleveland by a combined score of 28-7. Of course, Tuesday night’s debacle was helped by the fact that Reds reliever Steve Delabar walked four consecutive batters with the bases loaded, a feat that probably won’t happen again in Cincinnati. The Reds (15-24) have lost five of six overall and are in fifth place in the NL Central. The Indians (19-17) are in second place in the AL Central. Find the latest MLB sportsbook odds here.

Cleveland Indians vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Odds Analysis

When: Thursday, May 19, 2016, 7:10 PM Eastern time
Where: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Radio: WLW 700 AM Cincinnati
Live Stream:
Pitching Matchup: Josh Tomlin (5-0, 3.82 ERA) (CLE) vs Tim Adleman (1-1, 3.38 ERA) (CIN)



Why should you bet on Cleveland?

One rap on the Indians is that they have terrific pitching but offense that is a little on the anemic side. That weak offense showed against the Twins, when they lost two of three and only scored four runs in the two losses. However, they have been scoring more lately as a trend, and if they can become more consistent in that area, they won’t be wasting the fine efforts from their pitchers. Rajai Davis has broken out as of late, with three hits and three RBI in the Indians’ win on Tuesday.

Why should you put your money on the Reds?

Cincinnati is sending Tim Adleman to the mound, and his 3.38 ERA in three career major league starts is definitely respectable. He permitted three runs in five innings against Philadelphia. However, the fact that the Indians have never faced Adleman trends in his favor, as pitchers tend to do better the first time through. There’s also the fact that the Indians have piled up 28 runs the past two nights, which is more than they had in the previous five games combined. The law of averages tells you that the Indians simply won’t be hitting as much.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

The Reds are in a tailspin, and having 5-0 Josh Tomlin on the hill for the Indians isn’t doing them any favors. I’m predicting a 6-1 Cleveland win.