Chicago vs San Francisco MLB Odds Analysis

Posted by Aaron . on May 19, 2016 in

On Friday night, the Chicago Cubs will be in San Francisco to open a weekend series with the Giants. San Francisco (24-18) is in first place in the National League West and is riding a seven-game winning streak right now, with a game against the Padres to play on Thursday night before returning home to welcome the Cubs. Chicago (28-10) is in first place in the National League Central but has dropped four of seven after a torrid start. They did win Wednesday’s contest against Milwaukee, prevailing by the score of 2-1. Find the updated MLB betting lines here.

Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants MLB Odds Analysis

When: Friday, May 20, 2016, 10:15 PM Eastern time
Where: AT&T Park, San Francisco
TV: CSN, FSSO
Radio: KTRB 860 AM San Francisco
Live Stream: MLB.tv
MLB Odds: TBA
Pitching Matchup: Jake Arrieta (7-0, 1.29 ERA) (CHI) vs Jake Peavy (1-4, 7.43 ERA) (SF)

 

 

Why should you bet on Chicago?

Chicago’s best argument for victory will be on the mound to start the game, as Jake Arrieta enters with an undefeated record and an infinitesimal ERA. In his last start, he held the Pirates scoreless through eight innings, permitting just three hits. The Cubs are 21-0 in his last 21 starts. Against San Francisco, Arrieta holds a 3-1 record and a 1.69 ERA. Of the current Giants, none has ever hit a home run off Arrieta. While the Cubs’ offense has been a little inconsistent (at least by their standards) during these last seven games, Arrieta is a lock to keep the Giants’ offensive production at a minimum.

Why should you put your money on the Giants?

Jake Peavy is the Giants’ starter, and that unsightly record and ERA might seem more like a reason to bet on the Cubs. However, over the last five years, the Cubs have not hit all that well against him. Only Kris Bryant (3-4, 3 RBI lifetime) has a lot of success with Peavy. Jason Heyward (2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI) has taken him deep, but after that we see Ben Zobrist (.133 in 15 AB with 1 RBI), Anthony Rizzo (.214, 14 AB) and Miguel Montero, Addison Russell and Dexter Fowler (all hitless in a combined 14 at-bats) struggling with him, so this could be another off night for the Chicago offense.

Expert Pick and Final Winner Prediction

It’s going to take more than a potential revival out of Peavy’s arm to make me pick against the Cubs. I’m predicting a 4-1 Chicago win.