Chicago vs Atlanta MLB Odds Analysis

Posted by Aaron . on June 10, 2016 in

The Cubs will be in Atlanta on Saturday afternoon for the middle game of their weekend series against the Braves. The Cubs (41-17) are in first place in the National League Central and hold the best record in all of MLB, while the Braves (17-42) are in dead last in the National League East. The Braves beat the San Diego Padres, 4-2, on Wednesday, while the Cubs knocked off the Phillies, 8-1 on Wednesday. Find the latest MLB run lines here.

Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves MLB Odds Analysis

When: Saturday, June 11, 2016, 4:10pm Eastern time
Where: Turner Field, Atlanta
Radio: 106.7 FM The Fan Washington
Live Stream:
Pitching Matchup: Jake Arrieta (9-1, 1.80 ERA) (CHI) vs Matt Wisler (2-6, 3.98 ERA) (ATL)



Why should you bet on Chicago?

Since July 25, 2015, Cubs starter Jake Arrieta has lost exactly one game. It was his most recent start, against the Arizona Diamondbacks, but even in that effort he struck out 12 hitters in just five innings. Only two Braves hitters have a career batting average over .250 against Arieta — Jeff Francoeur and A.J. Pierzynski. It’s not like the Cubs needed MORE offense, but Albert Almora Jr. made his major league debut against the Phillies on Wednesday, and he had an RBI single as well as a cannon of a throw to get Odubel Herrera at the plate and save a run.

Why should you put your money on the Braves?

Matt Wisler is a solid young pitcher, but the Braves simply aren’t scoring to support him. He did have an ugly outing last time against the Dodgers, but that had more to do with an unwillingness to trust his secondary pitches than a lack of stuff, and the Dodgers just sat back and pounded his fastball. So if he can vary his pitches, he could frustrate a Cub team on which no starter has more than three at-bats against him. However, if he insists on forcing the fastball, the Cubs are ready — Kris Bryant, Miguel Montero and Dexter Fowler have already hit home runs off him, even though none of them has faced him more than twice.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I think the Cubs will roll in this one, knocking Wisler out early. I’m predicting an 8-1 Chicago win.