Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals MLB Preview & Betting Analysis

Posted by Peter Boysen on May 11, 2017 in

The Chicago Cubs (17-17) head to St. Louis still trying to figure things out, looking up at the Cardinals (19-14) from beneath in the National League Central standings. The Cardinals are riding a six-game winning streak that has vaulted them past their bitter rivals, while the Cubs have dropped five of six, including two of three to the Colorado Rockies this week, a series that ended with a 3-0 Colorado win on Wednesday. Who will have the edge in the MLB betting lines for this game?

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals MLB Preview & Betting Analysis

When: Friday, May 12, 2017, 8:15pm ET
Where: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
TV: CSCh, FSMW
Radio: Chicago / St. Louis
Live Stream: MLB.tv
MLB Odds: TBA
Pitching Matchup: Eddie Butler (no record) (CHI) vs Mike Leake (4-1, 1.79 ERA) (STL)

Why should you bet on the Cubs?

The Cubs start Eddie Butler, who makes his 29th start as a major league pitcher but his first in a Chicago uniform. He has been pitching well at triple-A Iowa, but over the course of those first 28 starts, he has permitted an average of just about two home runs per nine innings. Only five Cardinals have ever faced Butler, but four of them have perfect batting averages against him. When the two teams last tangled, on the opening weekend of the season, the Cubs took two of three.

Why should you put your money on the Cardinals?

Mike Leake has started six games for the Cards this season, and they have all been quality starts; in four of those starts, he has lasted into the seventh inning. In the Cards’ win on Wednesday night, Dexter Fowler was the hero with a pinch-hit triple to give St. Louis the lead as they roared back from a four-run deficit for the second night in a row to push that streak to six straight wins. That is the sort of momentum that can turn into a tidal wave that pushes a team well ahead in the standings.

Betting Pick and Final Score Prediction

The Cubs still haven’t shown that they can piece together complete games on a consistent basis, let alone consistent series. I don’t see Butler outpitching Leake in his debut; instead, I see St. Louis prevailing, 5-2.